Let denote H, - random event that demand for the new product is high, H, - that demand is average, and H, - that demand is low. Marketing specialist has calculated that P(H,)=0,3, P(H,)=0,5, and P(H,)=0,2. The product gains high evaluation, if it was highly evaluated by at least 70% of consumers. It is also known that in case of high demand probability for the product to gain high evaluation is 0,8; in case of average demand - 0,55, and in case of low demand - 0,3. Twenty consumers of the product were interviewed recently, and fourteen highly evaluated it. What is the probability that demand for the product will be high/average/low in case it was highly evaluated?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Let denote H, - random event that demand for the new product is high, H, - that demand is average,
and H, - that demand is low. Marketing specialist has calculated that P(H,)=0,3, P(H,)=0,5, and
P(H,)=0,2. The product gains high evaluation, if it was highly evaluated by at least 70% of
consumers. It is also known that in case of high demand probability for the product to gain high
evaluation is 0,8; in case of average demand - 0,55, and in case of low demand - 0,3. Twenty
consumers of the product were interviewed recently, and fourteen highly evaluated it. What is the
probability that demand for the product will be high/average/low in case it was highly evaluated?
Transcribed Image Text:Let denote H, - random event that demand for the new product is high, H, - that demand is average, and H, - that demand is low. Marketing specialist has calculated that P(H,)=0,3, P(H,)=0,5, and P(H,)=0,2. The product gains high evaluation, if it was highly evaluated by at least 70% of consumers. It is also known that in case of high demand probability for the product to gain high evaluation is 0,8; in case of average demand - 0,55, and in case of low demand - 0,3. Twenty consumers of the product were interviewed recently, and fourteen highly evaluated it. What is the probability that demand for the product will be high/average/low in case it was highly evaluated?
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