Le Y is a random variable that follows a binomial distribution with parameters n, pas X~ Binom(n, p). Let ê Y + 1 be an estimator of the parameter p. N Find the bias of the estimator .

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### Understanding Estimators in Binomial Distributions: A Problem Solving Approach

Let's explore an interesting problem related to estimating parameters in binomial distributions. 

Given the following:

\( Y \) is a random variable that follows a binomial distribution with parameters \( n \) and \( p \). This can be mathematically denoted as \( X \sim \text{Binom}(n, p) \).

We define the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\) for the parameter \( p \) as:

\[
\hat{\theta} = \frac{Y}{n} + 1
\]

The task is to find the bias of the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\).

### Steps to Find the Bias of the Estimator

1. **Understand the Definition of Bias**: The bias of an estimator is the difference between the expected value of the estimator and the true value of the parameter being estimated.
   
   Mathematically, for an estimator \(\hat{\theta}\) of a parameter \( \theta \), the bias is given by:
   
\[
\text{Bias}(\hat{\theta}) = E(\hat{\theta}) - \theta
\]

2. **Calculate the Expected Value**: First, we need to determine the expected value of the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\).

3. **Use the Properties of Expectation**: Since \( Y \) is a binomial random variable with parameters \( n \), \( p \):

\[
E\left( \frac{Y}{n} \right) = \frac{E(Y)}{n} = \frac{np}{n} = p
\]

   Then substituting back into the estimator:

\[
E(\hat{\theta}) = E\left( \frac{Y}{n} + 1 \right) = E\left( \frac{Y}{n} \right) + E(1) = p + 1
\]

4. **Determine the Bias**: 

\[
\text{Bias}(\hat{\theta}) = E(\hat{\theta}) - p = (p + 1) - p = 1
\]

Thus, the bias of the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\) is 1.

This exercise exemplifies how to compute the bias of an estimator and is a crucial skill in statistical analysis, allowing us to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of
Transcribed Image Text:### Understanding Estimators in Binomial Distributions: A Problem Solving Approach Let's explore an interesting problem related to estimating parameters in binomial distributions. Given the following: \( Y \) is a random variable that follows a binomial distribution with parameters \( n \) and \( p \). This can be mathematically denoted as \( X \sim \text{Binom}(n, p) \). We define the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\) for the parameter \( p \) as: \[ \hat{\theta} = \frac{Y}{n} + 1 \] The task is to find the bias of the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\). ### Steps to Find the Bias of the Estimator 1. **Understand the Definition of Bias**: The bias of an estimator is the difference between the expected value of the estimator and the true value of the parameter being estimated. Mathematically, for an estimator \(\hat{\theta}\) of a parameter \( \theta \), the bias is given by: \[ \text{Bias}(\hat{\theta}) = E(\hat{\theta}) - \theta \] 2. **Calculate the Expected Value**: First, we need to determine the expected value of the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\). 3. **Use the Properties of Expectation**: Since \( Y \) is a binomial random variable with parameters \( n \), \( p \): \[ E\left( \frac{Y}{n} \right) = \frac{E(Y)}{n} = \frac{np}{n} = p \] Then substituting back into the estimator: \[ E(\hat{\theta}) = E\left( \frac{Y}{n} + 1 \right) = E\left( \frac{Y}{n} \right) + E(1) = p + 1 \] 4. **Determine the Bias**: \[ \text{Bias}(\hat{\theta}) = E(\hat{\theta}) - p = (p + 1) - p = 1 \] Thus, the bias of the estimator \(\hat{\theta}\) is 1. This exercise exemplifies how to compute the bias of an estimator and is a crucial skill in statistical analysis, allowing us to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of
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