le 1 showed data on accidents involving trains. Is it plausible that the collision counts are independent Poisson variates with constant rate over the 29 years? Respond by comparing a Poisson regression for collision rates that contains only an intercept term with a Poisson regression that contains also a time trend. The deviances of the two models are 35.1 and 23.5. A negative binomial model is fitted. The estimated collision rate x years after 1975 was e-4.20(e-0.0337)x=(0.015)(0.967)x. The ML estimate β(hat)=−0.0337 has SE = 0.0130. Conduct the Wald test of H0: β = 0 against H1: β =/= 0 The likelihood-ratio 95% confidence interval for β is (−0.060, −0.008). Find the interval for the multiplicative annual effect on the accident rate, and interpret.
le 1 showed data on accidents involving trains. Is it plausible that the collision counts are independent Poisson variates with constant rate over the 29 years? Respond by comparing a Poisson regression for collision rates that contains only an intercept term with a Poisson regression that contains also a time trend. The deviances of the two models are 35.1 and 23.5. A negative binomial model is fitted. The estimated collision rate x years after 1975 was e-4.20(e-0.0337)x=(0.015)(0.967)x. The ML estimate β(hat)=−0.0337 has SE = 0.0130. Conduct the Wald test of H0: β = 0 against H1: β =/= 0 The likelihood-ratio 95% confidence interval for β is (−0.060, −0.008). Find the interval for the multiplicative annual effect on the accident rate, and interpret.
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Related questions
Question
Table 1 showed data on accidents involving trains.
- Is it plausible that the collision counts are independent Poisson variates with constant rate over the 29 years? Respond by comparing a Poisson regression for collision rates that contains only an intercept term with a Poisson regression that contains also a time trend. The deviances of the two models are 35.1 and 23.5.
- A negative binomial model is fitted. The estimated collision rate x years after 1975 was e-4.20(e-0.0337)x=(0.015)(0.967)x. The ML estimate β(hat)=−0.0337 has SE = 0.0130. Conduct the Wald test of H0: β = 0 against H1: β =/= 0
- The likelihood-ratio 95% confidence interval for β is (−0.060, −0.008). Find the interval for the multiplicative annual effect on the accident rate, and interpret.

Transcribed Image Text:Train
Year Train-km Collisions
2003
2002
518
516
508
503
505
487
463
437
0
1
423
415
425
430
439
431
436
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
1989
Source: British Department of Transport.
1
0
1
212OINI4
Train-road
Train
Collisions Year Train-km Collisions
0
AANNIANW334
4
2
2
2
4
6
2
4
1988
1987
1986
1985
1984
1983
1982
1981
1980
1979
1978
1977
1976
1975
443
397
414
418
389
401
372
417
430
426
430
425
426
436
212OSANNSINS
0
5
3
5
Train-road
Collisions
4
6
13
5
3
7
3
2
2
3
4
8
12
2
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