Large-Scale (b) Compute the variance for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Round your answers to whole numbers, if needed. Var Medium-Scale Large-Scale X

College Algebra (MindTap Course List)
12th Edition
ISBN:9781305652231
Author:R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Publisher:R. David Gustafson, Jeff Hughes
Chapter3: Functions
Section3.3: More On Functions; Piecewise-defined Functions
Problem 84E
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### Decision Analysis for Expansion Alternatives

---

**Demand and Profit Table:**

The table below provides the profits for medium-scale and large-scale expansion alternatives across different levels of demand:

| Demand | Medium-Scale Expansion Profit (`x`) | Probability (`f(x)`) | Large-Scale Expansion Profit (`y`) | Probability (`f(y)`) |
|--------|-------------------------------------|-----------------------|------------------------------------|-----------------------|
| Low    | 50                                  | 0.20                  | 0                                  | 0.20                  |
| Medium | 150                                 | 0.30                  | 100                                | 0.30                  |
| High   | 200                                 | 0.50                  | 300                                | 0.50                  |

---

**Expected Value Calculation (a):**

**Step (a):** Compute the expected value for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Round your answers to whole numbers if needed.

#### Expected Value (EV)

- Medium-Scale Expansion:
  \[
  EV = (50 \times 0.20) + (150 \times 0.30) + (200 \times 0.50) = 10 + 45 + 100 = 155
  \]

- Large-Scale Expansion:
  \[
  EV = (0 \times 0.20) + (100 \times 0.30) + (300 \times 0.50) = 0 + 30 + 150 = 180
  \]

Based on the calculations:

- **Medium-Scale**: 155
- **Large-Scale**: 180

**Preferred Decision:** Large-Scale

The large-scale expansion is preferred for maximizing the expected profit as it has a higher expected value.

---

**Variance Calculation (b):**

**Step (b):** Compute the variance for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Round your answers to whole numbers if needed.

#### Variance (Var)

- Medium-Scale Expansion:
  \[
  Var = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2
  \]
  Where \( E[X^2] \) is the expected value of the squared profits,
  \[
  E[X^2] = (50^2 \times 0.20) + (150^2 \times 0.30) + (200^2 \times 0.50)
Transcribed Image Text:### Decision Analysis for Expansion Alternatives --- **Demand and Profit Table:** The table below provides the profits for medium-scale and large-scale expansion alternatives across different levels of demand: | Demand | Medium-Scale Expansion Profit (`x`) | Probability (`f(x)`) | Large-Scale Expansion Profit (`y`) | Probability (`f(y)`) | |--------|-------------------------------------|-----------------------|------------------------------------|-----------------------| | Low | 50 | 0.20 | 0 | 0.20 | | Medium | 150 | 0.30 | 100 | 0.30 | | High | 200 | 0.50 | 300 | 0.50 | --- **Expected Value Calculation (a):** **Step (a):** Compute the expected value for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Round your answers to whole numbers if needed. #### Expected Value (EV) - Medium-Scale Expansion: \[ EV = (50 \times 0.20) + (150 \times 0.30) + (200 \times 0.50) = 10 + 45 + 100 = 155 \] - Large-Scale Expansion: \[ EV = (0 \times 0.20) + (100 \times 0.30) + (300 \times 0.50) = 0 + 30 + 150 = 180 \] Based on the calculations: - **Medium-Scale**: 155 - **Large-Scale**: 180 **Preferred Decision:** Large-Scale The large-scale expansion is preferred for maximizing the expected profit as it has a higher expected value. --- **Variance Calculation (b):** **Step (b):** Compute the variance for the profit associated with the two expansion alternatives. Round your answers to whole numbers if needed. #### Variance (Var) - Medium-Scale Expansion: \[ Var = E[X^2] - (E[X])^2 \] Where \( E[X^2] \) is the expected value of the squared profits, \[ E[X^2] = (50^2 \times 0.20) + (150^2 \times 0.30) + (200^2 \times 0.50)
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