It's a typically hot morning in November in UTeM. You look outside and see some dark clouds rolling in. Historically, there is a 30% chance of rain on any given day in November. Furthermore, on days when it does in fact rain, 95% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the morning. But, on days when it does not rain, 25% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the morning. Q1: What is the probability of having dark cloud? Q2: Given that there are dark clouds rolling in, what is the chance that it will rain?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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It's a typically hot morning in November in UTEM. You look outside and see some dark clouds rolling in. Historically, there is a 30%
chance of rain on any given day in November. Furthermore, on days when it does in fact rain, 95% of the time there are dark clouds
that roll in during the morning. But, on days when it does not rain, 25% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the
morning.
Q1: What is the probability of having dark cloud?
Q2: Given that there are dark clouds rolling in, what is the chance that it will rain?
Choose ALL correct answers.
O A. Q2 = 0.9722
O B. Q2 = 0.0278
O C. Q1 = 0.3
O D. Q1 = 0.7
O E. Q2 = 0.6196
O F.
Q1 = 0.54
O G. Q1 = 0.46
O H. Q2 = 0.3804
Transcribed Image Text:It's a typically hot morning in November in UTEM. You look outside and see some dark clouds rolling in. Historically, there is a 30% chance of rain on any given day in November. Furthermore, on days when it does in fact rain, 95% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the morning. But, on days when it does not rain, 25% of the time there are dark clouds that roll in during the morning. Q1: What is the probability of having dark cloud? Q2: Given that there are dark clouds rolling in, what is the chance that it will rain? Choose ALL correct answers. O A. Q2 = 0.9722 O B. Q2 = 0.0278 O C. Q1 = 0.3 O D. Q1 = 0.7 O E. Q2 = 0.6196 O F. Q1 = 0.54 O G. Q1 = 0.46 O H. Q2 = 0.3804
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