In your previous work for DCNR, you predicted that if there are 1000 nittany mice now, then in five years there will be approximately 7389 mice, assuming the mice population obeys the differential equation P' = 0.4P. Now suppose DCNR has called you back, very alarmed, as they have extracted DNA samples from the nittany mice and found that it's like nothing else on Earth, so they suspect the mice have been introduced by some hostile alien species from another planet. Field counts have revealed that the mouse population is growing much more rapidly than they thought. After analyzing the data, you determine that the population satisfies the differential equation P' = 0.4Ppl.1 (a) Assuming there are 1000 mice now, how many will there be in five years? Compare your result to the prediction from the previous model P' = 0.4P. (b) Will there be a doomsday? If so, when will it come?

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Chapter1: Functions And Models
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In class we have considered population models of the form P' = aP", where r > 1. In the case r = 1,
we get the exponential growth model P' = aP. Positive solutions grow exponentially but do not lead
to a "doomsday" scenario. But if r = 2, we get the differential equation P' = aP², and in that case,
positive solutions do produce a “doomsday" scenario.
So what about some exponent r satisfying 1 < r < 2? Suppose we try r = 1.1 in the following silly
case:
In your previous work for DCNR, you predicted that if there are 1000 nittany mice now, then in
five years there will be approximately 7389 mice, assuming the mice population obeys the differential
equation P' = 0.4P. Now suppose DCNR has called you back, very alarmed, as they have extracted
DNA samples from the nittany mice and found that it's like nothing else on Earth, so they suspect
the mice have been introduced by some hostile alien species from another planet. Field counts have
revealed that the mouse population is growing much more rapidly than they thought. After analyzing
the data, you determine that the population satisfies the differential equation P' = 0.4P1.1
%3D
(a) Assuming there are 1000 mice now, how many will there be in five years? Compare your result
to the prediction from the previous model P' = 0.4P.
(b) Will there be a doomsday? If so, when will it come?
Transcribed Image Text:In class we have considered population models of the form P' = aP", where r > 1. In the case r = 1, we get the exponential growth model P' = aP. Positive solutions grow exponentially but do not lead to a "doomsday" scenario. But if r = 2, we get the differential equation P' = aP², and in that case, positive solutions do produce a “doomsday" scenario. So what about some exponent r satisfying 1 < r < 2? Suppose we try r = 1.1 in the following silly case: In your previous work for DCNR, you predicted that if there are 1000 nittany mice now, then in five years there will be approximately 7389 mice, assuming the mice population obeys the differential equation P' = 0.4P. Now suppose DCNR has called you back, very alarmed, as they have extracted DNA samples from the nittany mice and found that it's like nothing else on Earth, so they suspect the mice have been introduced by some hostile alien species from another planet. Field counts have revealed that the mouse population is growing much more rapidly than they thought. After analyzing the data, you determine that the population satisfies the differential equation P' = 0.4P1.1 %3D (a) Assuming there are 1000 mice now, how many will there be in five years? Compare your result to the prediction from the previous model P' = 0.4P. (b) Will there be a doomsday? If so, when will it come?
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