In this section we will construct empirical sampling distributions for the probability of heads in a coin toss To begin, each student should take twenty pennies from the contein 1. First, let's think about what we expect to see in this experiment. (a) If we were to toss a handful of n pennies, what proportion would you expect to land on beads? That is, what is the value of p= theoretical probability of heads? h Are vou guaranteed to observe the proportion of heads is exactly p when you toss the handful eoine? If we toss the same handful of n pennies several times, will we observe the same proportion of heads each toss? Explain. (c) The standard error (SE) describes how the observed proportion of heads varies from trial to trial. What is the general expression for SE,?

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**5.4 Activity 13: Sampling Distribution of Proportions**

**Objective:** The purpose of this activity is to obtain a better understanding of the sampling distribution for the sample proportion.

**Topics covered:**

1. Simple random sampling  
2. Standard errors  
3. Sampling distributions  

---

In this section, we will construct empirical sampling distributions for the probability of heads in a coin toss. To begin, each student should take twenty pennies from the container.

1. First, let's think about what we expect to see in this experiment.

   (a) If we were to toss a handful of *n* pennies, what proportion would you expect to land on heads? That is, what is the value of *p* = theoretical probability of heads?  

   \[
   p = \_\_\_\_\_\_
   \]

   (b) Are you guaranteed to observe the proportion of heads is exactly *p* when you toss the handful of coins? If we toss the same handful of *n* pennies several times, will we observe the same proportion of heads each toss? Explain.

(c) The standard error (SE) describes how the observed proportion of heads varies from trial to trial. What is the general expression for \( SE_{\hat{p}} \)?

   \[
   SE_{\hat{p}} = \_\_\_\_\_\_
   \]

(d) Consider the general expression for \( SE_{\hat{p}} \) in (c). What does this tell us about the role of sample size, *n*? Will our different tosses yield more or less consistent results as we increase the number of pennies in our sample? Explain.

(e) According to the Central Limit Theorem, what should we expect for the shape of the sample proportions from many different tosses?

---

**Note:** The page does not include any graphs or diagrams.
Transcribed Image Text:**5.4 Activity 13: Sampling Distribution of Proportions** **Objective:** The purpose of this activity is to obtain a better understanding of the sampling distribution for the sample proportion. **Topics covered:** 1. Simple random sampling 2. Standard errors 3. Sampling distributions --- In this section, we will construct empirical sampling distributions for the probability of heads in a coin toss. To begin, each student should take twenty pennies from the container. 1. First, let's think about what we expect to see in this experiment. (a) If we were to toss a handful of *n* pennies, what proportion would you expect to land on heads? That is, what is the value of *p* = theoretical probability of heads? \[ p = \_\_\_\_\_\_ \] (b) Are you guaranteed to observe the proportion of heads is exactly *p* when you toss the handful of coins? If we toss the same handful of *n* pennies several times, will we observe the same proportion of heads each toss? Explain. (c) The standard error (SE) describes how the observed proportion of heads varies from trial to trial. What is the general expression for \( SE_{\hat{p}} \)? \[ SE_{\hat{p}} = \_\_\_\_\_\_ \] (d) Consider the general expression for \( SE_{\hat{p}} \) in (c). What does this tell us about the role of sample size, *n*? Will our different tosses yield more or less consistent results as we increase the number of pennies in our sample? Explain. (e) According to the Central Limit Theorem, what should we expect for the shape of the sample proportions from many different tosses? --- **Note:** The page does not include any graphs or diagrams.
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