In this question you will consider ergodicity and time series averages. Consider the following MA (2) time series model: Ytt 01€t-1 - 0₂€t-2 = (b) State a sufficient condition for the ensemble average to match the time series average.
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Given the MA(2) time series model :
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- #3Consider the time series data for the real consumption of households and government from year 1950 to year 2019. Five autoregressive models, AR(1) to AR(5), are estimated as follows, where the t statistics for the corresponding estimated coefficients are in the parentheses, and the size of the samples, n, used for each estimation is also shown in the table. According to the significant lag approach, which model is the optimal under the 5% significance level? AR(1) AR(2) AR(3) AR(4) AR(5) 5365.55 7681.51 intercept t stat 5854.66 5041.07 5689.50 (2.44) (2.05) (2.13) 0.92 (2.13) (2.82) rcont-1 0.82 0.92 0.92 0.92 t stat (315.53) (9.49) (9.41) (9.33) (9.57) -0.26 rcont-2 -0.18 -0.28 -0.27 t stat (-1.38) (-1.38) (-1.31) (-1.32) rcon-s 0.08 0.02 0.07 t stat (0.64) (0.09) (0.32) rcont-4 0.06 -0.32 t stat (0.38) (-1.47) rcont-s 0.34 t stat (2.32) 65 65 65 65 65 AIC 18.30 18.30 18.33 18.36 18.29 BIC 18.37 18.40 18.46 18.52 18.50 O A. AR(2). O B. AR(1). O C. none. D. AR(5).15) The intercept is 0, the autoregressive coefficient is 0.2 and the moving average coefficient is 0.5 in an ARIMA(1,1,1) model. What is the one-step ahead forecast if the shock for the current period is -2 and the current and one-period lagged values of the forecast variable are 110 and 105?
- At wind speeds above 1000 centimeters per second (cm/sec), significant sand-moving events begin to occur. Wind speeds below 1000 cm/sec deposit sand and wind speeds above 1000 cm/sec move sand to new locations. The cyclic nature of wind and moving sand determines the shape and location of large dunes. At a test site, the prevailing direction of the wind did not change noticeably. However, the velocity did change. Sixty-three wind speed readings gave an average velocity of x = 1075 cm/sec. Based on long-term experience, ? can be assumed to be 255 cm/sec.At wind speeds above 1000 centimeters per second (cm/sec), significant sand-moving events begin to occur. Wind speeds below 1000 cm/sec deposit sand and wind speeds above 1000 cm/sec move sand to new locations. The cyclic nature of wind and moving sand determines the shape and location of large dunes. At a test site, the prevailing direction of the wind did not change noticeably. However, the velocity did change. Sixty-five wind speed readings gave an average velocity of x = 1075 cm/sec. Based on long-term experience, ? can be assumed to be 255 cm/sec. (a) Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean wind speed at this site. (Round your answers to the nearest whole number.) lower limit ______cm/sec upper limit _____cm/secYou want to obtain a sample to estimate a population mean. Based on previous evidence, you believe the population standard deviation is approximately σ=61.7σ=61.7. You would like to be 95% confident that your esimate is within 2.5 of the true population mean. How large of a sample size is required?n = Do not round mid-calculation. However, use a critical value accurate to three decimal places — this is important for the system to be able to give hints for incorrect answers.
- What was the maximum sustained yield under the logistic harvest model when k=500 and r=0.4? Values 1 500 1000 49L K L N N.d num [1:601] 0 123456789... num [1:50] 5 157.502 1079.678 0.732 24.054 ... num [1:50] 114 329 349 350 350 ... 0.4 int [1:50] 1 2 3 45678910 50 t Nt r Z Z L P T time y Files Plots Packages Help Viewer Presentation Zoom Export num [1:601] 0.4 0.399 0.398 0.398 0.397 ... Publish Observed Growth Rate 69 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 Observed Growth Maximum Growth Carrying Capacity 0 100 200 300 400 500 600The type of battery in Jim's laptop has a lifetime X (in years) which follows a Weibull distribution with parameters α=2 and β=4. The type of battery in Jim's tablet has a lifetime Y (in years) which follows an exponential distribution with parameter λ=1/4.Find E(XY−2Y).(Answer as a decimal number, and round to 2 decimal places).Pv. Don't provide handwriting solution
- Define on empirical way and a statistical way to choose the best forecasting model for your time series data. Consider the following situations: 1. The data has no trend or seasonality 2. The data has trend but not seasonality 3. The data presents trend and seasonality but negligible noise 4. The data presents trend, seasonality and significant noise.Ch. 6.1 CI What sample size is needed to give the desired margin of error in estimating a population proportion with the indicated level of confidence? (16) A margin of error within +/- 1% with 99% confidence. (18) A margin of error within +/- 2% with 95% confidence. An initial small sample has p-hat=0.78