In the US, primary elections are held to determine who will be the presidential candidate for a particular party. Two of the first states to hold primary elections for president are Iowa and New Hampshire. A candidate wishes to know if her popularity in these states is similar. She decides to conducts polls of random samples of voters to determine their voting preference. A recent poll of 825 voters in Iowa shows this candidate has 24% of the vote, while a different poll of 775 voters from New Hampshire shows this candidate has 20% of the vote in New Hampshire. Do these polls give strong evidence that the candidate’s share of the vote in these two states is different, at the α = 0.05 significance level? A. The test statistic is z = 1.93 and the P-value = 0.0538. Because 0.0538 > 0.05, there is not sufficient evidence that the candidate’s levels of support are different in the two states. B. The test statistic is z = 1.93 and the P-value = 0.0538. Because 0.0538 > 0.05, there is sufficient evidence that the candidate’s levels of support are different in the two states. C. The test statistic is z = 1.93 and the P-value = 0.0269. Because 0.0269 < 0.05, there is not sufficient evidence that the candidate’s levels of support are different in the two states. D. The test statistic is z = –1.93 and the P-value = 0.0269. Because 0.0269 < 0.05, there is sufficient evidence that the candidate’s levels of support are different in the two states. E. The test statistic is z = –1.93 and the P-value = 0.9731. Because 0.9731 > 0.05, there is not sufficient evidence that the candidate’s levels of support are different in the two states.
In the US, primary elections are held to determine who will be the presidential candidate for a particular party. Two of the first states to hold primary elections for president are Iowa and New Hampshire. A candidate wishes to know if her popularity in these states is similar. She decides to conducts polls of random samples of voters to determine their voting preference. A recent poll of 825 voters in Iowa shows this candidate has 24% of the vote, while a different poll of 775 voters from New Hampshire shows this candidate has 20% of the vote in New Hampshire.
Do these polls give strong evidence that the candidate’s share of the vote in these two states is different, at the α = 0.05 significance level?
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