In the game of craps, a player rolls two regular dice. She wins at once if the total is 7 or 11, and loses at once if the total is 2, 3, or 12. Otherwise, she continues rolling the two dice until she either wins by seeing her initial total again before seeing 7, or loses by seeing 7. Let A= "She wins the game" and B = "The total from rolling two dice is i", i = 2,3,...,12. (a) Find P(A | B7) and P(A | B₂). (b) Let p= P(B5) and q = P(B7). Suppose that the player's initial total is 5. Show in detail the probability she wins is p/(p+q). (e) Show that the probability she wins the game of craps is 0.493.

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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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In the game of craps, a player rolls two regular dice. She wins at once if the total is 7 or 11, and loses
at once if the total is 2, 3, or 12. Otherwise, she continues rolling the two dice until she either wins by
seeing her initial total again before seeing 7, or loses by seeing 7. Let A = "She wins the game" and
B;= "The total from rolling two dice is i", i = 2,3,...,12.
(a) Find P(A | B7) and P(A | B₂).
(b) Let p = P(B5) and q = P(B7). Suppose that the player's initial total is 5. Show in detail the
probability she wins is p/(p+q).
(c) Show that the probability she wins the game of craps is 0.493.
Transcribed Image Text:In the game of craps, a player rolls two regular dice. She wins at once if the total is 7 or 11, and loses at once if the total is 2, 3, or 12. Otherwise, she continues rolling the two dice until she either wins by seeing her initial total again before seeing 7, or loses by seeing 7. Let A = "She wins the game" and B;= "The total from rolling two dice is i", i = 2,3,...,12. (a) Find P(A | B7) and P(A | B₂). (b) Let p = P(B5) and q = P(B7). Suppose that the player's initial total is 5. Show in detail the probability she wins is p/(p+q). (c) Show that the probability she wins the game of craps is 0.493.
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