In screening for a COVID-19, the probability that a healthy person wrongly gets a positive result is 0.04. The probability that a diseased person wrongly gets a negative result is 0.002. The overall rate of the disease in the population being screened is 1%. If my COVID-19 test gives a positive result, what is the probability I actually have the disease? (8 points)

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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In screening for a COVID-19, the probability that a healthy person wrongly gets a positive result is 0.04. The probability that a
diseased person wrongly gets a negative result is 0.002. The overall rate of the disease in the population being screened is
1%. If my COVID-19 test gives a positive result, what is the probability I actually have the disease? (8 points)
Transcribed Image Text:In screening for a COVID-19, the probability that a healthy person wrongly gets a positive result is 0.04. The probability that a diseased person wrongly gets a negative result is 0.002. The overall rate of the disease in the population being screened is 1%. If my COVID-19 test gives a positive result, what is the probability I actually have the disease? (8 points)
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