In Quarter 2 what is the expected value at outcome A (before the cost of the delivery van)? $

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Julie James is opening a lemonade stand. She believes the fixed cost per week of running the stand...
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Quarter 2
Flora Co intends to expand the business to include a home delivery service. The delivery van is expected to
cost $20,000 and the business has a 60% chance of the new delivery service being successful.
The following decision tree has been produced to represent this decision. The final profit figures in the
decision tree are based upon whether demand is good or poor for the new delivery service.
Expand
Cost of van
($20,000)
Key
D
Don't
expand
Decision
Outcome
Success 0.6
Failure 0.4
A
B
Good 0.7
Poor 0.3
Good 0.2
Poor 0.8
$600,000
$100,000
$10,000
$8,000
$0
Transcribed Image Text:Quarter 2 Flora Co intends to expand the business to include a home delivery service. The delivery van is expected to cost $20,000 and the business has a 60% chance of the new delivery service being successful. The following decision tree has been produced to represent this decision. The final profit figures in the decision tree are based upon whether demand is good or poor for the new delivery service. Expand Cost of van ($20,000) Key D Don't expand Decision Outcome Success 0.6 Failure 0.4 A B Good 0.7 Poor 0.3 Good 0.2 Poor 0.8 $600,000 $100,000 $10,000 $8,000 $0
In Quarter 2 what is the expected value at outcome A (before the cost of the delivery van)?
$
Transcribed Image Text:In Quarter 2 what is the expected value at outcome A (before the cost of the delivery van)? $
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Here, I am given the decision tree, Based on whether the demand is good or bad, the final profit figures are assigned, The rest of the answers are shown below, 


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