In a CPM network, the critical path has five activities. Their durations are tabulated next. Duration Activity Optimistic (To) Most Likely (Tm) Pessimistic (Tp) A 2 5 9 B 3 4 8 C 4 6 9 D 5 10 20 E 3 5 9     Compute the following: The probability that the project will finish by the end of day 32 The probability that the project will finish by the end of day 34 The probability that the project will finish before day 30

Structural Analysis
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337630931
Author:KASSIMALI, Aslam.
Publisher:KASSIMALI, Aslam.
Chapter2: Loads On Structures
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  1. In a CPM network, the critical path has five activities. Their durations are

tabulated next.

Duration

Activity

Optimistic (To)

Most Likely (Tm)

Pessimistic (Tp)

A

2

5

9

B

3

4

8

C

4

6

9

D

5

10

20

E

3

5

9

 

 

Compute the following:

  1. The probability that the project will finish by the end of day 32
  2. The probability that the project will finish by the end of day 34
  3. The probability that the project will finish before day 30
  4. The probability that the project will finish on day 32
  5. The probability that the project will finish no later than day35
  6. The probability that the project will finish at least 2 days early
  7. The probability that the project will finish at least 2 days late
  8. The probability that the project will finish on day 32 ±1 day
  9. The completion date with at least a 90% confidence level
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