In a county fair,Ben and Jerry observe the same random sequence of coin tosses: H, T, T, H, H, H, Н. Ben does not know that the coin is fair.When asked about what he thinks the next outcome in the sequence will be, he says there is a 60% chance it will be H. What cognitive bias is consistent with Ben's answer, and why? Please answer in at most two sentences. Jerry knows that the coin is fair (i.e., with equal probability of H or T occurring in a coin toss). When asked about what he thinks the next outcome in the sequence will be, he says there is a 60% chance it will be T. What cognitive bias is consistent with Jerry's answer, and why? Please answer in at most two sentences.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Economics
In a county fair,Ben and Jerry observe the same
random sequence of coin tosses: H, T, T, H, H, H,
H.
Ben does not know that the coin is fair.When
asked about what he thinks the next outcome in
the sequence will be, he says there is a 60%
chance it will be H. What cognitive bias is
consistent with Ben's answer, and why? Please
answer in at most two sentences.
Jerry knows that the coin is fair (i.e., with equal
probability of H or T occurring in a coin toss).
When asked about what he thinks the next
outcome in the sequence will be, he says there is a
60% chance it will be T. What cognitive bias is
consistent with Jerry's answer, and why? Please
answer in at most two sentences.
Transcribed Image Text:Economics In a county fair,Ben and Jerry observe the same random sequence of coin tosses: H, T, T, H, H, H, H. Ben does not know that the coin is fair.When asked about what he thinks the next outcome in the sequence will be, he says there is a 60% chance it will be H. What cognitive bias is consistent with Ben's answer, and why? Please answer in at most two sentences. Jerry knows that the coin is fair (i.e., with equal probability of H or T occurring in a coin toss). When asked about what he thinks the next outcome in the sequence will be, he says there is a 60% chance it will be T. What cognitive bias is consistent with Jerry's answer, and why? Please answer in at most two sentences.
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