None Imagine you are working as a forecasting analyst for theCentral Bank of Kent. The governor of this central bankasks you to create a model to forecast three USmacroeconomic variables: Real GDP, CPI inflation, andthe Fed Funds Rate. In the governor's mind, she doesnot think you can create a model that beats a simplerandom walk model for each of these three variables.Figure 1: Plot of US Real GDP, CPI Inflation and FedFunds Rate for the sample 1959Q22023Q3 (a)Formulate a model that you believe will producesuperior forecasts for these three variables compared tothe governor's random walk model. Begin by detailingyour selected model specifications, taking into accountthe features present in the data depicted in Figure 1.For instance, can you determine approximately the truedata generating process for each of the three series?Second, define your model specification inmathematical notation and outline any assumptionsassociated with your model. (10 marks) (b) Using themodel specification defined in part (b), write a pseudo---code for an out of sample forecasting exercise. Inyour pseudo code, clearly define the o?

To address the problem provided in the image, let's break down the tasks:1. **Model Formulation**:…

Answered: Imagine you are working as a…

Brief Principles of Macroeconomics (MindTap Course List)

8th Edition

ISBN:9781337091985

Author:N. Gregory Mankiw

Publisher:N. Gregory Mankiw

Chapter16: The Influence Of Monetary And Fiscal Policy On Aggregate Demand

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 6CQQ

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7:511 Price level LRAS SRAS AD Real GDP 33) Refer to Figure 15-6. In the figure above, if the economy is at point A, the appropriate monetary policy by the Federal Reserve would be to lower tax rates. B) raise interest rates. c) lower interest rates. D) raise income taxes. 241 Whirh of the frllnwinn dacrihac what the Fard B I U west the a q w er ty uio p a s dfghjk I z x c v b n m 123 space return !!
In early 2017, policymakers at the Federal Reserve forecast that real GDP during 2017 would increase faster than potential GDP and that the inflation rate for the year would be about 1.9 percent. Source: Federal Open Market Committee, "Advance Release of Table 1 of the Summary of Economic Projections to be Released with the FOMC Minutes," March15, 2017. Fill in the missing values in the table with estimates that are consistent with these forecasts. Assume that the growth rate for real GDP between 2016 and 2017 is 0.32 percentage points higher than the percentage change in potential output between those years (rounded to two decimal places). 2016 2017 Real GDP $16.7 trillion $nothing trillion Potential GDP $16.9 trillion $17.1 trillion GDP Deflator 111.5 nothing (Enter your responses rounded to one decimal place.)
Explain why it is not possible for growing economies to have price stability whenthe money supply is constant
Suppose an economy is in long-run equilibrium.a. Use the model of aggregate demand andaggregate supply to illustrate the initialequilibrium (call it point A). Be sure to includeboth short-run aggregate supply and long-runaggregate supply.b. The central bank raises the money supply by5 percent. Use your diagram to show whathappens to output and the price level as theeconomy moves from the initial equilibrium to thenew short-run equilibrium (call it point B).c. Now show the new long-run equilibrium (call itpoint C). What causes the economy to move frompoint B to point C?d. According to the sticky-wage theory of aggregatesupply, how do nominal wages at point Acompare with nominal wages at point B? How donominal wages at point A compare with nominalwages at point C?e. According to the sticky-wage theory of aggregatesupply, how do real wages at point A comparewith real wages at point B? How do real wages atpoint A compare with real wages at point C?f. Judging by the impact of the money…
Suppose that a borrower and a lender agree on thenominal interest rate to be paid on a loan. Theninflation turns out to be higher than they bothexpected.a. Is the real interest rate on this loan higher or lowerthan expected?b. Does the lender gain or lose from thisunexpectedly high inflation? Does the borrowergain or lose?c. Inflation during the 1970s was much higher thanmost people had expected when the decade began.How did this unexpectedly high inflation affecthomeowners who obtained fixed-rate mortgagesduring the 1960s? How did it affect the banks thatlent the money
Question 4Suppose a country’s inflation level is higher than desired, and unemployment levels arelower than expected – the central bank decides that the economy is ‘overheated’ andattempts to use the appropriate monetary policy to deal with the situation. Describe,with the help of the appropriate figure, how a central bank might go about implementingsuch monetary policy, the subsequent effects this has on interest rates, the quantity ofmoney in the market, and the process through which this affects the level of expenditurein the economy.
During the global financial crisis, how was the Fed ableto help offset the sharp increase in financial frictionswithout the option of lowering interest rates further?Did the Fed’s plan work?
Which monetary policy tool can the Federal Reserve use to conduct an expansionary monetarypolicy (please state at least one instrument)? Which monetary policy instrument can the Fed useto conduct a restrictive monetary policy? Assume the country is experiencing highunemployment and a recession, such as during 2001, 2008-2009, and 2020. What is the Fedlikely to do in this scenario? Discuss the effects of such policy on the economy. Can you givea specific example to what the Fed did during any of those recessions? This is not a writing, it is economic.
How does high inflation lead to a recession in the country? Explain the role ofthe Government and the Central Bank to address the economic recessionproblem by using appropriate fiscal and monetary policies. Are there anypotential problems with such policies? Please answer in detail
1. Supposeyouhave$200,000inabanktermaccount.Youearn5%interestper annum from this account.You anticipate that the inflation rate will be 4% during the year. However, the actual inflation rate for the year is 6%.Calculate the impact of inflation on the bank term deposit you have and examine the effects of inflation in your city of residence with attention to food and accommodation expenses.2. TheAustralianBureauofStatistics(ABS)reportedinMay2017thatthecivilian population in Australia over 15 years of age was 20.8 million.Of this population of 20.8 million Australians, 13.5 million were employed and 0.7 million were unemployed.Calculate Australia’s labor force and the number of people in the civilian population who were not in the labor force? Also, with examples examine the causes of structural unemployment in Australia.
Economists have a high regard for Paul Volcker because it was he who decided to have 12 regional banks. it was he who designed the Fed to be the lender of last resort. O he was willing to be unpopular in order to do what he thought was the right thing. O he was able to cure the inflation problem without causing any harm to business owners. it was he who devised the system of national income accounts now known as GDP.
You have been hired as a Marco Economist by the President of the United States to help evaluate the recentannouncement by Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke that the FED will be increasing interest rates again.Ben Bernanke has justified the move on the grounds that the economy continues to be strong. Answer thefollowing questions. Provide a graphical explanation for your answers whenever possible. 1. What is the fed trying to do?A. slow down the economyB. stimulate the economyC. remains unchanged 2. How is the fed doing it?A. buying bondsB. selling bondsC. remains unchanged 3. What happens to bond prices?A. increaseB. decreaseC. remains unchanged 4. What happens to the interest rate?A. increaseB. decreaseC. remains unchanged

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