If you get a positive identification from a caller on this test, what is the probability that he would actually attempt suicide?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Officials at the suicide prevention center know that 5% of all people who phone their hotline actually
attempt suicide. A psychologist has devised a quick and simple verbal test to help identify those callers
who will actually attempt suicide. She found that
a. 80% of the people who will attempt suicide have a positive score on this test;
b. but only 5% of those who will not attempt suicide have a positive score on this test.
If you get a positive identification from a caller on this test, what is the probability that he
would actually attempt suicide?
Transcribed Image Text:Officials at the suicide prevention center know that 5% of all people who phone their hotline actually attempt suicide. A psychologist has devised a quick and simple verbal test to help identify those callers who will actually attempt suicide. She found that a. 80% of the people who will attempt suicide have a positive score on this test; b. but only 5% of those who will not attempt suicide have a positive score on this test. If you get a positive identification from a caller on this test, what is the probability that he would actually attempt suicide?
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