If the expected number of occurrences in a given interval is v, then the probability that there are exactly n occurrences is given as: v"e" P,(n) =: n! where n is a non-negative integer. If the return period for an M> 6 earthquake is 20 years, what are (a) the annual probability of exceedance (PE) and

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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If the expected number of occurrences in a given interval is v , then the probability that there are
exactly n occurrences is given as:
P,(n) =
n!
where n is a non-negative integer.
If the return period for an M> 6 earthquake is 20 years, what are
(a)
the annual probability of exceedance (PE) and
(b)
the PE throughout the design life of 50 years?
Transcribed Image Text:If the expected number of occurrences in a given interval is v , then the probability that there are exactly n occurrences is given as: P,(n) = n! where n is a non-negative integer. If the return period for an M> 6 earthquake is 20 years, what are (a) the annual probability of exceedance (PE) and (b) the PE throughout the design life of 50 years?
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