i-th house in her neighborhood. At any house that she visits, either: s at the house and answers the door; this happens with probability q (where 0 < a picture of her hometown; at the house and Amy returns home. hat the collection of all events of the form {Amy stays home on day i} and {Somed 2,..., are (mutually) independent. s the probability that Amy gives out a picture on the first day? me integers k and n, with n ≥ 1 and 0 ≤ k ≤n. s the probability that she gave out exactly k pictures on the first n days? s the probability that she stayed home on day 1, given that she did not give out a the first week (7 days), what is the probability that there were no days in which A picture of her hometown? cation (June 13): What is the probability that there were no days in event A happe axinline]A[/mathjaxinline>] is that Amy went out but did not give out a picture of

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Amy immigrated to a new city, and would like to make friends with her new neighbours.
On any particular day i, she feels shy with probability 1 − p (0 < p < 1) and stays home; or, with probability p, she goes out
and visits the i-th house in her neighborhood. At any house that she visits, either:
(i) someone is at the house and answers the door; this happens with probability q (where 0 < g < 1). In that case, Amy
shows them a picture of her hometown;
(ii) no one is at the house and Amy returns home.
We assume that the collection of all events of the form {Amy stays home on day i} and {Someone is at the i-th house on day
i}, for i = 1, 2, . . ., are (mutually) independent.
1. What is the probability that Amy gives out a picture on the first day?
2. Fix some integers k and n, with n ≥ 1 and 0 ≤k ≤n.
What is the probability that she gave out exactly k pictures on the first n days?
3. What is the probability that she stayed home on day 1, given that she did not give out a picture on that day?
4. Within the first week (7 days), what is the probability that there were no days in which Amy went out but did not give
out a picture of her hometown?
Clarification (June 13): What is the probability that there were no days in event A happens, where event
[mathjaxinline]A[/mathjaxinline>] is that Amy nt out but did not give out a picture of her hometown?
Transcribed Image Text:Amy immigrated to a new city, and would like to make friends with her new neighbours. On any particular day i, she feels shy with probability 1 − p (0 < p < 1) and stays home; or, with probability p, she goes out and visits the i-th house in her neighborhood. At any house that she visits, either: (i) someone is at the house and answers the door; this happens with probability q (where 0 < g < 1). In that case, Amy shows them a picture of her hometown; (ii) no one is at the house and Amy returns home. We assume that the collection of all events of the form {Amy stays home on day i} and {Someone is at the i-th house on day i}, for i = 1, 2, . . ., are (mutually) independent. 1. What is the probability that Amy gives out a picture on the first day? 2. Fix some integers k and n, with n ≥ 1 and 0 ≤k ≤n. What is the probability that she gave out exactly k pictures on the first n days? 3. What is the probability that she stayed home on day 1, given that she did not give out a picture on that day? 4. Within the first week (7 days), what is the probability that there were no days in which Amy went out but did not give out a picture of her hometown? Clarification (June 13): What is the probability that there were no days in event A happens, where event [mathjaxinline]A[/mathjaxinline>] is that Amy nt out but did not give out a picture of her hometown?
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