Humana Inc.'s last dividend (Do) was $1.12, and its earnings and dividends are expected to increase at a constant growth rate of 12 percent. Humana's market beta is 1.16. If the current risk-free rate is 5 percent and the required rate of return on the market portfolio is 12 percent, what is the company's current expected stock price?

Essentials Of Investments
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Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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**Humana Inc.'s Expected Stock Price Calculation**

Humana Inc.'s last dividend (\(D_0\)) was $1.12, and its earnings and dividends are expected to increase at a constant growth rate of 12 percent. Humana's market beta is 1.16. If the current risk-free rate is 5 percent and the required rate of return on the market portfolio is 12 percent, what is the company's current expected stock price?

---

**Explanation:**

To find the expected stock price, we use the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model for constant growth), which is:

\[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r_s - g} \]

Where:

- \( P_0 \) is the current stock price
- \( D_1 \) is the dividend expected next year
- \( r_s \) is the required rate of return
- \( g \) is the growth rate

First, calculate \( D_1 \) (the expected dividend next year):

\[ D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) \]

Next, calculate the required rate of return (\( r_s \)) using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):

\[ r_s = \text{Risk-free rate} + \beta \times (\text{Market return} - \text{Risk-free rate}) \]

Finally, plug these values into the Gordon Growth Model to find the expected stock price \( P_0 \).
Transcribed Image Text:**Humana Inc.'s Expected Stock Price Calculation** Humana Inc.'s last dividend (\(D_0\)) was $1.12, and its earnings and dividends are expected to increase at a constant growth rate of 12 percent. Humana's market beta is 1.16. If the current risk-free rate is 5 percent and the required rate of return on the market portfolio is 12 percent, what is the company's current expected stock price? --- **Explanation:** To find the expected stock price, we use the Gordon Growth Model (also known as the Dividend Discount Model for constant growth), which is: \[ P_0 = \frac{D_1}{r_s - g} \] Where: - \( P_0 \) is the current stock price - \( D_1 \) is the dividend expected next year - \( r_s \) is the required rate of return - \( g \) is the growth rate First, calculate \( D_1 \) (the expected dividend next year): \[ D_1 = D_0 \times (1 + g) \] Next, calculate the required rate of return (\( r_s \)) using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): \[ r_s = \text{Risk-free rate} + \beta \times (\text{Market return} - \text{Risk-free rate}) \] Finally, plug these values into the Gordon Growth Model to find the expected stock price \( P_0 \).
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