ith reference to the data below given in minutes, using the chi-square goodness-of-fit test, can you conclude that the time lags are not exponentially distributed with θ = 3.2 minutes? Use α = 0.01. 2,3   0,2   2,9   0,4   2,8   2,4   4,4   5,8    2,8    3,3 3,3   9,7   2,5   5,6   9,5   1,8   4,7   0,7    6,2    1,2 7,8   0,8   0,9   0,4   1,3   3,1   3,7   7,2    1,6    1,9 2 .4  4.6   3.8   1.5   2.7   0.4   1.3   1.1     5.5

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With reference to the data below given in minutes, using the chi-square goodness-of-fit test, can you conclude that the time lags are not exponentially distributed with θ = 3.2 minutes? Use α = 0.01.

2,3   0,2   2,9   0,4   2,8   2,4   4,4   5,8    2,8    3,3
3,3   9,7   2,5   5,6   9,5   1,8   4,7   0,7    6,2    1,2

7,8   0,8   0,9   0,4   1,3   3,1   3,7   7,2    1,6    1,9

2 .4  4.6   3.8   1.5   2.7   0.4   1.3   1.1     5.5   3.4

4.2   1.2   0.5   6.8   5.2   6.3    7.6   1.4    0.5   1.4

Please be as specific as possible with your calculations.

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Good morning, I have some doubts about this.

I would appreciate your help to clarify them.

To determine the observed frequencies, I took the data and created a table with some intervals as follows:

1). Determine the maximum value, minimum value, range, number of intervals and amplitude. Which gave me the following:

Maximum value=9.7 ; Minimum value=0.2
Range=maximum value-minimum value=9.7-0.2=9.5
Número de intervalos=1+(3,3222*LOG(n))=1+(3,3222*LOG(50))=6.64
Amplitude=(Maximum value-minimum value)/(Number of intervals)=(9.7-0.2)/6.64= 9.5/6.64=1.43

With this, determine the intervals of the data table and then according to those intervals take out the observed frequencies for those intervals, as follows:

Intervals (Minutes) / Observed frequencies (Oi)
[ 0,20 - 1,63 ] / 18
[ 1,64 - 3,07 ] / 10
[ 3,08 - 4,51 ] / 8
[ 4,52 - 5,95 ] / 6
[ 5,96 - 7,39 ] / 4
[ 7,40 - 8,83 ] / 2
[ 8,84 - 10,27] / 2

Then, with these observed frequencies find the exponential probabilities as follows:

Probabilities (I found the probabilities as follows)
Use this formula for all intervals P(X ≤x)=1-e^((-x)/θ)    

P6 (X ≤18)=1-e^((-18)/3.2) =0,9964
P5 (X ≤10)=1-e^((-10)/3.2) =0.9561
P4 (X ≤8)  =1-e^((-8)/3.2)   =0.918
P3 (X ≤6)  =1-e^((-6)/3.2)   =0.8466
P2 (X ≤4)  =1-e^((-4)/3.2)   =0.7135
P1 (X ≤2)  =1-e^((-2)/3.2)   =0.4647

Expected frequency (I found the expected frequencies as follows)
E1=n*P1 (X ≤2)                      =50*0.4648                =23.24
E2=n*[P2 (X ≤4)- P1(X ≤2)]    =50*[0.7135-0.4648] =12.44
E3=n*[P3 (X ≤6)- P2(X ≤4)]    =50*[0.8467-0.7135] =6.66
E4=n*[P4 (X ≤8)- P3(X ≤6)]    =50*[0.918-0.8467]   =3.56
E5=n*[P5 (X ≤10)- P4(X ≤8)]  =50*[0.9561-0.918]   =1.91
E6=n*[P6 (X ≤18)- P5(X ≤10)]=50*[0.9964-0.9561] =2.02

Adding E1 to E6 gives me an expected frequency of 49.82 which is the same as you calculated when I add up all the E's in your explanation. So, I think I am doing well solving the exercise up to this point. However, I am not sure.

Test statistic (I found the test statistic like this:

Use this formula:

Xi^2= (Oi- Ei )^2/Ei)

X1^2= (2-23.24)^2/23.24 = (-21.24)^2/23.24= 451.14/23.24=19.41
X2^2= (4-12.44)^2/12.44 = (-8.44)^2/12.44  = 71.23/12.44  =5.72
X3^2= (6-6.66)^2/6.66     = (-0.66)^2/6.66    = 0.44/6.66      =0.06
X4^2= (8-3.56)^2/3.56     = (4.44)^2/3.56     = 19.71/3.56     =5.52

X5^2= (10-1.91)^2/1.91   = (8.09)^2/1.91     = 65.45/1.91     =34.33
X6^2= (18-2.02)^2/2.02   = (15.98)^2/2.02   = 255.36/2.02   =126.69

However, my test statistic gives me a very high 191.75 and you give me 5.079. That is why I think my calculation is wrong and I would like you to tell me what my mistake could be.

Thank you for your time and explanation. Next, I will list some additional doubts.

Doubts.
1). Is it necessary to find the intervals with maxima, minima, ranges, etc., as I did to determine the observed frequencies?
2). All the probabilities of all the intervals are found with the following formula: P(X ≤x)=1-e^((-x)/θ)? 
3). Why are some expected frequencies found with this formula: P(X ≤x)=1-e^((-x)/θ). For example: E1 and E5. But for E2, E3 and E4 this other formula is used: P(X ≤x)=e^((-x)/θ)?
4). Why when calculating E2 it says that: E2=(total number of observations)*[P(X ≤4)-P(X ≤2)]. However, when it solves it says that: E2=50*[(e^((−2)/3.2)-(e^((−4)/3.2))]? When, P(X ≤4)=(e^((-4)/3.2)) and P(X ≤2)=(e^((-2)/3.2). That's my impression, but I think I remain inverted. Or what, is the reason why it is expressed in one way and solved in another. That generates confusion to me.

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