Gary’s Pipe and Steel company expects sales next year to be $910,000 if the economy is strong, $655,000 if the economy is steady, and $376,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 10 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 55 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 35 percent probability of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for next year?
Gary’s Pipe and Steel company expects sales next year to be $910,000 if the economy is strong, $655,000 if the economy is steady, and $376,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 10 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 55 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 35 percent probability of a weak economy. What is the expected level of sales for next year?
Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1PS
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Gary’s Pipe and Steel company expects sales next year to be $910,000 if the economy is strong, $655,000 if the economy is steady, and $376,000 if the economy is weak. Gary believes there is a 10 percent probability the economy will be strong, a 55 percent probability of a steady economy, and a 35 percent probability of a weak economy.
What is the expected level of sales for next year?
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Step 1
Forecasting refers to the process of estimating the figures for the future. This is based on historical data as well as the probability that the scenario will be true in the future. There are various ways of estimation and the use of probabilities in forecasting is one of the ways.
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