finds the glass is cracked. What is the probability it was made by Mirrorglass?
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A lens outlet owner buys his glass from four different manufacturers - Clearglass (10%), Strongpane (25%), Mirrorglass (30%) and Reflection (35%).
In the past, the outlet owner has found that 1% of Clearglass' product is cracked, 1.5% of Strongpane's product is cracked, and 2% of Mirrorglass' and Reflection's products are cracked.
He removes the protective covering from a sheet of glass without looking at the manufacturer's name - in other words, it's a random
choice. He finds the glass is cracked. What is the probability it was made by Mirrorglass?
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