Find the probability that at least 44 flights arrive late.

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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The rates of on-time flights for commercial jets are continuously tracked by the U.S. Department of Transportation. Recently, Southwest Air had the best reate with 80 % of its flights arriving on time. A test is conducted by randomly selecting 1010 Southwest flights and observing whether they arrive on time. (a) Find the probability that at least 44 flights arrive late.

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Step 1

Given : n=10 , P(flights arriving on time)=0.8

Therefore , P(flights arriving late)=1-0.8=0.2

Let , X be the number of flights arriving late

Here , X→B(n=10 , p=0.2)

The probability mass function of X is , 

P(X=x)=nxpxqn-x ; x=0,1,2,.......,n and q=1-p

= 0 ; otherwise

Our aim is to find the probability that at least 4 flights arrive late.

 

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