Find the expected gain (or loss) for a holder of a European put option with strike price $65 to be exercised in 10 months if the stock price on the exercise date may turn out to be $58, $61, or $72 with probability , , and , respectively, given that the option is bought for $5.9, financed by a loan at 7% compounded continuously.

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Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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**Question 5: Expected Gain or Loss for a European Put Option**

**Problem Statement:**

Determine the expected gain (or loss) for a holder of a European put option with a strike price of $65. This option is to be exercised in 10 months. On the exercise date, the stock price could be either $58, $61, or $72. The probabilities associated with these stock prices are:

- $58 with probability \( \frac{1}{4} \)
- $61 with probability \( \frac{1}{4} \)
- $72 with probability \( \frac{1}{2} \)

The option was purchased for $5.9, which was financed through a loan at an annual interest rate of 7%, compounded continuously.

**Detailed Solution:**

1. **Calculating the Payoff for Each Outcome:**

   The payoff of a European put option is given by \( \max(K - S_T, 0) \) where \( K \) is the strike price and \( S_T \) is the stock price at maturity.

   - If \( S_T = \$58 \):
     \[
     \text{Payoff} = \max(65 - 58, 0) = \$7
     \]
  
   - If \( S_T = \$61 \):
     \[
     \text{Payoff} = \max(65 - 61, 0) = \$4
     \]
  
   - If \( S_T = \$72 \):
     \[
     \text{Payoff} = \max(65 - 72, 0) = \$0
     \]

2. **Expected Payoff:**

   The expected payoff \( E[\text{Payoff}] \) is calculated using the probabilities:

   \[
   E[\text{Payoff}] = \left(\frac{1}{4} \times 7\right) + \left(\frac{1}{4} \times 4\right) + \left(\frac{1}{2} \times 0\right) = \frac{7}{4} + \frac{4}{4} + 0 = \frac{11}{4} = 2.75
   \]

3. **Financing Cost:**

   The initial cost of the option is \$5.9, financed by a loan at 7% compounded
Transcribed Image Text:**Question 5: Expected Gain or Loss for a European Put Option** **Problem Statement:** Determine the expected gain (or loss) for a holder of a European put option with a strike price of $65. This option is to be exercised in 10 months. On the exercise date, the stock price could be either $58, $61, or $72. The probabilities associated with these stock prices are: - $58 with probability \( \frac{1}{4} \) - $61 with probability \( \frac{1}{4} \) - $72 with probability \( \frac{1}{2} \) The option was purchased for $5.9, which was financed through a loan at an annual interest rate of 7%, compounded continuously. **Detailed Solution:** 1. **Calculating the Payoff for Each Outcome:** The payoff of a European put option is given by \( \max(K - S_T, 0) \) where \( K \) is the strike price and \( S_T \) is the stock price at maturity. - If \( S_T = \$58 \): \[ \text{Payoff} = \max(65 - 58, 0) = \$7 \] - If \( S_T = \$61 \): \[ \text{Payoff} = \max(65 - 61, 0) = \$4 \] - If \( S_T = \$72 \): \[ \text{Payoff} = \max(65 - 72, 0) = \$0 \] 2. **Expected Payoff:** The expected payoff \( E[\text{Payoff}] \) is calculated using the probabilities: \[ E[\text{Payoff}] = \left(\frac{1}{4} \times 7\right) + \left(\frac{1}{4} \times 4\right) + \left(\frac{1}{2} \times 0\right) = \frac{7}{4} + \frac{4}{4} + 0 = \frac{11}{4} = 2.75 \] 3. **Financing Cost:** The initial cost of the option is \$5.9, financed by a loan at 7% compounded
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