Fill in the probability distribution table and find the expected value. 10) A 28-year-old man pays $181 for a one-year life insurance policy with coverage of $150,000. If the probability that he will live through the year is 0.9994, what is the expected value for the insurance policy? 10) P(x)

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**Probability Distribution and Expected Value Calculation**

A 28-year-old man pays $181 for a one-year life insurance policy with coverage of $150,000. The probability that he will live through the year is 0.9994. What is the expected value for the insurance policy?

**Probability Distribution Table:**

| x       | P(x)  |
|---------|-------|
|         |       |
|         |       |

To find this expected value, the table needs to be filled with relevant data. 

The possible outcomes (x) and their probabilities (P(x)) can be considered as:

1. The man survives the year and the insurance company keeps the premium: 
   - x = -$181 (loss for the man, the insurance keeps the premium)
   - P(x) = 0.9994

2. The man does not survive the year, and the insurance company pays the coverage:
   - x = $150,000 - $181 = $149,819 (gain for the man’s beneficiaries)
   - P(x) = 1 - 0.9994 = 0.0006

The expected value (EV) of the insurance policy can be calculated as follows:

\[ 
EV = (x_1 \times P(x_1)) + (x_2 \times P(x_2))
\]

Substitute the values:

\[
EV = (-181 \times 0.9994) + (149,819 \times 0.0006)
\]

This will yield the expected monetary value for the policy from the perspective of the insurance customer (the man).
Transcribed Image Text:**Probability Distribution and Expected Value Calculation** A 28-year-old man pays $181 for a one-year life insurance policy with coverage of $150,000. The probability that he will live through the year is 0.9994. What is the expected value for the insurance policy? **Probability Distribution Table:** | x | P(x) | |---------|-------| | | | | | | To find this expected value, the table needs to be filled with relevant data. The possible outcomes (x) and their probabilities (P(x)) can be considered as: 1. The man survives the year and the insurance company keeps the premium: - x = -$181 (loss for the man, the insurance keeps the premium) - P(x) = 0.9994 2. The man does not survive the year, and the insurance company pays the coverage: - x = $150,000 - $181 = $149,819 (gain for the man’s beneficiaries) - P(x) = 1 - 0.9994 = 0.0006 The expected value (EV) of the insurance policy can be calculated as follows: \[ EV = (x_1 \times P(x_1)) + (x_2 \times P(x_2)) \] Substitute the values: \[ EV = (-181 \times 0.9994) + (149,819 \times 0.0006) \] This will yield the expected monetary value for the policy from the perspective of the insurance customer (the man).
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