Expected Utility formulation was initially proposed as a solution to the St. Petersburg paradox (or, its predecessor). However, does it really solve all such paradoxes? More specific, consider an individual whose "little Bernoulli" utility functions is, a la Cremer, given by u(x) = x**. Construct a lottery similar to St. Petersburg lottery in that your lottlery, too, gives a finite prize with probability one, but not only the expected value, but also the expected utility of your lottery (calculated using the u(.) above) is not finite. Discuss how that violates EU as a solution for the St. Petersburg paradox.

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3) A common argument against the transitivity property of preferences is that people
cannot discern between small differences, but, then assuming transitivity implies
that they should be indifferent between two totally different alternatives. (One
common example goes as follows: no one can discern the difference between a cup
of coffee with 10 miligram (mg.) of sugar and another cup with 11 mg. of sugar.
Therefore, anyone is indifferent between a cup with 10 mg and another with 11 mg
of sugar, should also be indifferent between a cup with 10 mg and 12 mg of sugar
(as she would be indifferent between the two cups with 11 mg and 12 mg of sugar,
and the transitivity implies that 10 mg must be just as good as 12 mg. But, with the
same token, one can extend the chain, and say that one should be indifferent
between a cup with 10 mg of sugar and a cup with 100 gr (not mg!) of sugar. And,
no one is.) Show that with money prizes this argument is not as easily applicable,
furthermore argue that, if you were indifferent between lottery L that pays $x with
probability p and nothing with probability (1-p) and lottery L' that pays $x with
probability p+d and nothing with probability (1-p-d) where dis arbitrarily small, a
conman could soon get all your money (or, valuable lottery tickets). The argument
you develop to show this result is closely related to what is known as the Dutch
Book argument.
Transcribed Image Text:3) A common argument against the transitivity property of preferences is that people cannot discern between small differences, but, then assuming transitivity implies that they should be indifferent between two totally different alternatives. (One common example goes as follows: no one can discern the difference between a cup of coffee with 10 miligram (mg.) of sugar and another cup with 11 mg. of sugar. Therefore, anyone is indifferent between a cup with 10 mg and another with 11 mg of sugar, should also be indifferent between a cup with 10 mg and 12 mg of sugar (as she would be indifferent between the two cups with 11 mg and 12 mg of sugar, and the transitivity implies that 10 mg must be just as good as 12 mg. But, with the same token, one can extend the chain, and say that one should be indifferent between a cup with 10 mg of sugar and a cup with 100 gr (not mg!) of sugar. And, no one is.) Show that with money prizes this argument is not as easily applicable, furthermore argue that, if you were indifferent between lottery L that pays $x with probability p and nothing with probability (1-p) and lottery L' that pays $x with probability p+d and nothing with probability (1-p-d) where dis arbitrarily small, a conman could soon get all your money (or, valuable lottery tickets). The argument you develop to show this result is closely related to what is known as the Dutch Book argument.
1) Expected Utility formulation was initially proposed as a solution to the St.
Petersburg paradox (or, its predecessor). However, does it really solve all such
paradoxes? More specific, consider an individual whose "little Bernoulli" utility
functions is, a la Cremer, given by u(x) = x^. Construct a lottery similar to St.
Petersburg lottery in that your lottlery, too, gives a finite prize with probability one,
but not only the expected value, but also the expected utility of your lottery
(calculated using the u(.) above) is not finite. Discuss how that violates EU as a
solution for the St. Petersburg paradox.
Transcribed Image Text:1) Expected Utility formulation was initially proposed as a solution to the St. Petersburg paradox (or, its predecessor). However, does it really solve all such paradoxes? More specific, consider an individual whose "little Bernoulli" utility functions is, a la Cremer, given by u(x) = x^. Construct a lottery similar to St. Petersburg lottery in that your lottlery, too, gives a finite prize with probability one, but not only the expected value, but also the expected utility of your lottery (calculated using the u(.) above) is not finite. Discuss how that violates EU as a solution for the St. Petersburg paradox.
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