Example 5.5. Recall Example 5.2 (section 5.1.2). Now, suppose that the Xis will not be directly observable. Instead, we will only be able to observe whether X>0 or X = 0. For example, drivers may not want to reveal to an insurance company that they've had a number of accidents in the past for this will surely increase their premium, but, to mitigate the risk of the insurance industry, government reg- ulations may require that they have to reveal something. So a compromise is reached to balance privacy and transparency-drivers must reveal whether they've had any accident at all (i.e. whether X; > 0 or X; = 0), although they need not reveal exactly how many they've had. Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, we can still estimate the parameter 0 in this case, despite the added complication! The key insight here is that we can define another (fully observable) random variable, 1, X; > 0, Y₁ = 0, X = 0. ~ Then, Y; Binomial(1, pi), where = Pi P(Y - 1) = P(X; > 0) = 1 - P(X = 0) = e -Ovi (Ovi)º = 1. = 1 − e−vi 0! Table 5.1 Number of individuals (out of 40) who had zero (X; = 0) or at least one (X; > 0) incident, along with their level of activity (v;) One+ Zero (X; > 0) (X = 0) Vi 8 10 0 4 2 1 237 1873 Source: authors.

Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic Geometry
13th Edition
ISBN:9781133382119
Author:Swokowski
Publisher:Swokowski
Chapter5: Inverse, Exponential, And Logarithmic Functions
Section5.6: Exponential And Logarithmic Equations
Problem 64E
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Question

Use the likelihood ratio to find
a 95% confidence interval for theta based on data in Table 5.1

Example 5.5. Recall Example 5.2 (section 5.1.2). Now, suppose that the Xis
will not be directly observable. Instead, we will only be able to observe whether
X>0 or X = 0.
For example, drivers may not want to reveal to an insurance company that
they've had a number of accidents in the past for this will surely increase their
premium, but, to mitigate the risk of the insurance industry, government reg-
ulations may require that they have to reveal something. So a compromise is
reached to balance privacy and transparency-drivers must reveal whether
they've had any accident at all (i.e. whether X; > 0 or X; = 0), although they
need not reveal exactly how many they've had.
Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, we can still estimate the parameter 0 in this
case, despite the added complication! The key insight here is that we can define
another (fully observable) random variable,
1,
X; > 0,
Y₁ =
0,
X = 0.
~
Then, Y; Binomial(1, pi), where
=
Pi P(Y - 1) = P(X; > 0) = 1 - P(X = 0)
=
e
-Ovi (Ovi)º
= 1.
= 1 − e−vi
0!
Transcribed Image Text:Example 5.5. Recall Example 5.2 (section 5.1.2). Now, suppose that the Xis will not be directly observable. Instead, we will only be able to observe whether X>0 or X = 0. For example, drivers may not want to reveal to an insurance company that they've had a number of accidents in the past for this will surely increase their premium, but, to mitigate the risk of the insurance industry, government reg- ulations may require that they have to reveal something. So a compromise is reached to balance privacy and transparency-drivers must reveal whether they've had any accident at all (i.e. whether X; > 0 or X; = 0), although they need not reveal exactly how many they've had. Perhaps somewhat surprisingly, we can still estimate the parameter 0 in this case, despite the added complication! The key insight here is that we can define another (fully observable) random variable, 1, X; > 0, Y₁ = 0, X = 0. ~ Then, Y; Binomial(1, pi), where = Pi P(Y - 1) = P(X; > 0) = 1 - P(X = 0) = e -Ovi (Ovi)º = 1. = 1 − e−vi 0!
Table 5.1 Number of individuals (out of 40) who had zero (X; = 0) or at least one
(X; > 0) incident, along with their level of activity (v;)
One+
Zero
(X; > 0) (X = 0)
Vi
8
10
0
4
2
1
237
1873
Source: authors.
Transcribed Image Text:Table 5.1 Number of individuals (out of 40) who had zero (X; = 0) or at least one (X; > 0) incident, along with their level of activity (v;) One+ Zero (X; > 0) (X = 0) Vi 8 10 0 4 2 1 237 1873 Source: authors.
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