ere are two boxes of marbles. Box I has 4 blue marbles and 6 green marbles; box II has 10 blue marbles and 5 green marbles. John flips a coin twice. If the head come up twice, he will randomly choose a marble from box I. Otherwise, he will randomly choose a marble from box II. (a) What is the probability that John chooses a blue marble? (b) If it’s known that John chose a green marble, what is the probability that it’s chosen from box I?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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There are two boxes of marbles. Box I has 4 blue marbles and 6 green marbles; box II has 10
blue marbles and 5 green marbles. John flips a coin twice. If the head come up twice, he will
randomly choose a marble from box I. Otherwise, he will randomly choose a marble from
box II.
(a) What is the probability that John chooses a blue marble?
(b) If it’s known that John chose a green marble, what is the probability that it’s chosen from box I?

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