Ellen is currently deciding how to invest $100,000. One option would be to invest in Golden Oaks Nursing Homes. In a good economy, she would receive a 20% return on her money. In a fair economy, she would get a 9% return and a 0% return in a poor economy. Another option would be the We're Your Friends loan company. There, she could get a 4% return in a good market, an 11% return in a fair market, and a 15% return in a poor market. A final option would be to leave the money invested in CD's which would return 9% over the same time period. Suppose she believed the probability of a good economy to be 20% and the probability of a poor market to be 30%, what is her expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
Publisher:NEWNAN
Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1QTC
icon
Related questions
Question
Ellen is currently deciding how to invest $100,000.
One option would be to invest in Golden Oaks
Nursing Homes. In a good economy, she would
receive a 20% return on her money. In a fair
economy, she would get a 9% return and a 0%
return in a poor economy. Another option would be
the We're Your Friends loan company. There, she
could get a 4% return in a good market, an 11%
return in a fair market, and a 15% return in a poor
market. A final option would be to leave the money
invested in CD's which would return 9% over the
same time period. Suppose she believed the
probability of a good economy to be 20% and the
probability of a poor market to be 30%, what is her
expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
Transcribed Image Text:Ellen is currently deciding how to invest $100,000. One option would be to invest in Golden Oaks Nursing Homes. In a good economy, she would receive a 20% return on her money. In a fair economy, she would get a 9% return and a 0% return in a poor economy. Another option would be the We're Your Friends loan company. There, she could get a 4% return in a good market, an 11% return in a fair market, and a 15% return in a poor market. A final option would be to leave the money invested in CD's which would return 9% over the same time period. Suppose she believed the probability of a good economy to be 20% and the probability of a poor market to be 30%, what is her expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
Expert Solution
steps

Step by step

Solved in 2 steps

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Economics
ISBN:
9780190931919
Author:
NEWNAN
Publisher:
Oxford University Press
Principles of Economics (12th Edition)
Principles of Economics (12th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:
9780134078779
Author:
Karl E. Case, Ray C. Fair, Sharon E. Oster
Publisher:
PEARSON
Engineering Economy (17th Edition)
Engineering Economy (17th Edition)
Economics
ISBN:
9780134870069
Author:
William G. Sullivan, Elin M. Wicks, C. Patrick Koelling
Publisher:
PEARSON
Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)
Principles of Economics (MindTap Course List)
Economics
ISBN:
9781305585126
Author:
N. Gregory Mankiw
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Managerial Economics: A Problem Solving Approach
Economics
ISBN:
9781337106665
Author:
Luke M. Froeb, Brian T. McCann, Michael R. Ward, Mike Shor
Publisher:
Cengage Learning
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-…
Managerial Economics & Business Strategy (Mcgraw-…
Economics
ISBN:
9781259290619
Author:
Michael Baye, Jeff Prince
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education