elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you asked them what they think the climate sensitivity parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the CSP). These are their answers Expert from NOAA: 3.0 Expert from OECD: 3.0 Expert from OPEC: 1.9 Expert from WHO: 3.2 FUND modelers: 1.7 i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for these data, using the objective probabilities. ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP. iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and draw it

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
Publisher:Amos Gilat
Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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You work for the US EPA and have
elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the
change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the
concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you
asked them what they think the climate sensitivity
parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the
CSP). These are their answers
Expert from NOAA: 3.0
Expert from OECD: 3.0
Expert from OPEC: 1.9
Expert from WHO: 3.2
FUND modelers: 1.7
i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for
these data, using the objective probabilities.
ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP.
iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and
draw it.
Transcribed Image Text:You work for the US EPA and have elicited the opinion of a number of experts about the change in the equilibrium temperature of the earth if the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere doubles (i.e., you asked them what they think the climate sensitivity parameter [CSP] is, using the second definition of the CSP). These are their answers Expert from NOAA: 3.0 Expert from OECD: 3.0 Expert from OPEC: 1.9 Expert from WHO: 3.2 FUND modelers: 1.7 i) Build a simple histogram like the one we did in class for these data, using the objective probabilities. ii) Compute the mean CSP and the variance of CSP. iii) Do your own subjective probability distribution and draw it.
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