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- 2. Kier, in The scenario, wants to determine how each of the 3 companies will decide on possible new investments. He was able to determine the new investment pay off for each of the three choices as well as the probability of the two types of market. If a company will launch product 1, it will gain 50,000 if the market is successful and lose 50,000 if the market is a failure. If a company will launch product 2, it will gain 25,000 if the market is successful and lose 25,000 if the market will fail. If a company decides not to launch any of the product, it will not be affected whether the market will succeed or fail. There is a 56% probability that the market will succeed and 44% probability that the market will fail. What will be the companies decision based on EMV? What is the decision of each company based on expected utility value?2. Consider the following Bayesian game with two players. Both players move simultaneously and player 1 can choose either H or L, while player 2's options are G, M, and D. With probability 1/2 the payoffs are given by "Game 1" : GMD H 1,2 1,0 1,3 L 2,4 0,0 0,5 and with probability 1/2 the payoffs are according to "Game 2" : G |M|D H 1,2 1,3 1,0 L 2,4 0,5 0,0 (a) Find the Nash Equilibria when neither player knows which game is actually played. (b) Assume now that player 2 knows which one among the two games is actually being played. Check that the game has a unique Bayesian Nash Equilibrium.on 8.1 Consider the following game: Player 1 A C D 7,6 5,8 0,0 Player 2 E 5,8 7,6 1, 1 F 0,0 1,1 4,4 a. Find the pure-strategy Nash equilibria (if any). b. Find the mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium in which each player randomizes over just the first two actions. c. Compute players' expected payoffs in the equilibria found in parts (a) and (b). d. Draw the extensive form for this game.
- You and a coworker are assigned a team project on which your likelihood or a promotion will be decidedon. It is now the night before the project is due and neither has yet to start it. You both want toreceive a promotion next year, but you both also want to go to your company’s holiday party that night.Each of you wants to maximize his or her own happiness (likelihood of a promotion and mingling withyour colleagues “on the company’s dime”). If you both work, you deliver an outstanding presentation.If you both go to the party, your presentation is mediocre. If one parties and the other works, yourpresentation is above average. Partying increases happiness by 25 units. Working on the project addszero units to happiness. Happiness is also affected by your chance of a promotion, which is depends on howgood your project is. An outstanding presentation gives 40 units of happiness to each of you; an aboveaverage presentation gives 30 units of happiness; a mediocre presentation gives 10 units…Exercise 6.8. Consider the following extensive-form game with cardinal payoffs: 1 R O player pay 000 2 1 M 3 b 010 O player 3's payoff 1 2 221 2 000 0 0 (a) Find all the pure-strategy Nash equilibria. Which ones are also subgame perfect? (b) [This is a more challenging question] Prove that there is no mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium where Player 1 plays Mwith probability strictly between 0 and 1.2. Consider a cheap talk game in which Nature moves by choosing a sender's type, where the type space has four elements: −1, 1, 2, and 3, each occur- ring with equal probability of 1½. The sender learns his type and chooses one of three possible messages: bumpy, smooth, and slick. The receiver observes the sender's message and then chooses one of three actions: 0, 5, and 10. The sender's payoff equals his type multiplied by the receiver's action. The receiver's payoff equals the sender's type multiplied by twice the receiver's payoff. a. Find a separating perfect Bayes-Nash equilibrium. b. Find a semiseparating perfect Bayes-Nash equilibrium.
- Subgames • • • At each node where a player makes a decision, we can think about the "subgame" starting at that node A subgame is the portion of the tree following a particular node How many subgames does our first sequential move example have? • How many subgames does our entry game have? • How many subgames does the game on the right have? • What are its Nash equilibria? Player 1 (1,4) T Player 2 U B (5,2) (3,3) р Player 1 D L 9 (2, 0) Player 2 R (6, 2)3. Find the saddle point, if it exists, for the following game. (b) Solve the following game by using the principle of dominance and find the probabilities of strategies for each player and the value of the game. Player B Player A II III IV V 3 4 4 II 2 4 III 4 4 IV 4 4 20 2420 87601. What is the expected value of playing this game ? a. The player repeatedly rolls a six - side d die until it comes up 6. b. When the die comes up 6 , the player receives a payoff, and the game ends. The player get s precise ly one payof f. c. The initial payoff is $6, and it increases by 20%. The f irst roll payoff is $6 ; the second roll payoff is $7.20 (1.2*$6) ; the third roll payoff is $8.64 (1.2*$7.20), and so on. What is the expected value of playing this game?
- Question > Consider the following matrix game where Player 1 moves first then Player 2 observes player 1's move and responds. Draw the game tree for the sequential move game and then determine all the Nash equilibria. Player 1 Strategy A Strategy B Strategy C Strategy D -3, -2 10, 12 9, 20 Player 2 Please show each step on how to get the answer. Thank you! Strategy E 13,7 17, 17 12, 21 Strategy F 20,8 22, 16 19, 193:51 9 M 23 The mixed strategy Nash equilibrium of the following * game is Player 2 R. L Player 1 U 2,2 3,1 D 3.-1 0.0 U with 3/4 probability and D with 1/4 probability for player 1; L with1/2 probability and probability for player 2 with 1/2 U with 1/2 probability and D with 1/2 probability for player 1; L with1/4 probability and R with 3/4 probability for player 2 U with 1/4 probability and D with 3/4 probability for player 1; L with1/2 probability and R with 1/2 probability for player 2 O None of the above. U with 1/2 probability and D with 1/2 probability for player 1; L with3/4 probability and R with 1/4 probability for player 2In the final round of a TV game show, contestantshave a chance to increase their current winnings of$1 million to $2 million. If they are wrong, theirprize is decreased to $500,000. A contestant thinkshis guess will be right 50% of the time. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correctguess that would make playing profitable?