Each member in Super Fancy VIP club is assumed to successfully refer a friend to join the club at an exponential rate of λ per member. Each member cancels membership at an exponential rate of μ. If the total number of members is less than N , the club will advertise online, and additional customers will join the club at an exponential rate of θ due to advertisement. If the total number of members is greater or equal to N , the club will stop advertising, and customers will only join the club through reference. (a) Set this up as a birth and death model. That is, clearly define the states and transition rates. Draw rate diagram. (b) Set up balance equations to be solved to find Pj ’s for j ≥ 0. Do not solve them. (c) Let N = 25. Express the proportion of time that customers will only join the club through reference in terms of Pj ’s. (Do not need to solve)

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Each member in Super Fancy VIP club is assumed to successfully refer a friend to join the
club at an exponential rate of λ per member. Each member cancels membership at an exponential
rate of μ. If the total number of members is less than N , the club will advertise online, and additional
customers will join the club at an exponential rate of θ due to advertisement. If the total number of
members is greater or equal to N , the club will stop advertising, and customers will only join the club
through reference.
(a) Set this up as a birth and death model. That is, clearly define the states and transition
rates. Draw rate diagram.
(b) Set up balance equations to be solved to find Pj ’s for j ≥ 0. Do not solve them.
(c) Let N = 25. Express the proportion of time that customers will only join the club
through reference in terms of Pj ’s. (Do not need to solve)

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