Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with a coupon of 4.0% if it is par and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table below. (Assume coupon is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.) (Leave no cells bl enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate your answers to 2 decimal places.) Economy Boom Normal Growth Recession Probability 0.20 0.60 0.20 YTM 11.0% 9.0% 7.0% Price Capital Gain Coupon Interest HPR

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Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with a coupon of 4.0% if it is
par and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table below. (Assume
coupon is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.) (Leave no cells bl
enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate
your answers to 2 decimal places.)
Economy
Boom
Normal Growth
Recession
Probability
0.20
0.60
0.20
YTM
11.0 %
9.0 %
7.0%
Price
Capital Gain
Coupon
Interest
HPR
%
%
%
Transcribed Image Text:ces Derive the probability distribution of the 1-year HPR on a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond with a coupon of 4.0% if it is par and the probability distribution of its yield to maturity a year from now is as shown in the table below. (Assume coupon is paid at the end of the year rather than every 6 months. Assume a par value of $100.) (Leave no cells bl enter "0" wherever required. Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate your answers to 2 decimal places.) Economy Boom Normal Growth Recession Probability 0.20 0.60 0.20 YTM 11.0 % 9.0 % 7.0% Price Capital Gain Coupon Interest HPR % % %
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