Department of Public Work and Highways employs three consulting firms (D, E, and F) with probabilities 0.40, 0.35, and 0.25, respectively. From past experience it is known that the probability of cost overruns for the firms are 0.05, 0.03, and 0.15, respectively. Suppose a cost overrun is experienced by the agency. What is the probability that the consulting firm involved is company D?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Department of Public Work and Highways employs three consulting firms (D, E, and F) with
probabilities 0.40, 0.35, and 0.25, respectively. From past experience it is known that the
probability of cost overruns for the firms are 0.05, 0.03, and 0.15, respectively. Suppose a cost
overrun is experienced by the agency. What is the probability that the consulting firm involved is
company D?
Transcribed Image Text:Department of Public Work and Highways employs three consulting firms (D, E, and F) with probabilities 0.40, 0.35, and 0.25, respectively. From past experience it is known that the probability of cost overruns for the firms are 0.05, 0.03, and 0.15, respectively. Suppose a cost overrun is experienced by the agency. What is the probability that the consulting firm involved is company D?
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