Daniel Bernoulli's work in 1760 had the goal of appraising the effectiveness of a controversial inoculation program against smallpox which at that time was a major threat to public health. His model applies equally well to any other disease that, once contracted and survived, confers a lifetime immunity. Consider the cohort of individuals born in a given year (t = 0), and let n(t) be the number these individuals surviving t years later. Let x(t) be the number of members of this cohort who have not had smallpox by year t and wl are therefore still susceptible. Let ß be the rate at which susceptibles contract smallpox, and let v be the rate at which people who contra smallpox die from the disease. Finally, let 4(t) be the death rate fro all causes other than smallpox. Then dx/dt, the rate at which the de number of susceptibles declines, is given by = -(B + µ(t))x. The
Daniel Bernoulli's work in 1760 had the goal of appraising the effectiveness of a controversial inoculation program against smallpox which at that time was a major threat to public health. His model applies equally well to any other disease that, once contracted and survived, confers a lifetime immunity. Consider the cohort of individuals born in a given year (t = 0), and let n(t) be the number these individuals surviving t years later. Let x(t) be the number of members of this cohort who have not had smallpox by year t and wl are therefore still susceptible. Let ß be the rate at which susceptibles contract smallpox, and let v be the rate at which people who contra smallpox die from the disease. Finally, let 4(t) be the death rate fro all causes other than smallpox. Then dx/dt, the rate at which the de number of susceptibles declines, is given by = -(B + µ(t))x. The
Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1RQ
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