Consider the toss of a (loaded) coin. In a "good" outcome, punter (bettor) will receive £1 in 12 months. In a "bad" outcome she will not receive anything. The fair market price of this bet is £0.45 and current prevailing risk-free interest rate is 5%. What is the implied probability of a "good" outcome? Assume continuous compounding. (A) 0.4223 B 0.4731 0.5269 0.5594

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Question 8
Consider the toss of a (loaded) coin. In a "good" outcome, punter (bettor) will receive £1
in 12 months. In a "bad" outcome she will not receive anything. The fair market price of
this bet is £0.45 and current prevailing risk-free interest rate is 5%. What is the implied
probability of a "good" outcome? Assume continuous compounding.
A) 0.4223
0.4731
0.5269
0.5594
Transcribed Image Text:Question 8 Consider the toss of a (loaded) coin. In a "good" outcome, punter (bettor) will receive £1 in 12 months. In a "bad" outcome she will not receive anything. The fair market price of this bet is £0.45 and current prevailing risk-free interest rate is 5%. What is the implied probability of a "good" outcome? Assume continuous compounding. A) 0.4223 0.4731 0.5269 0.5594
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