Consider the gambler's ruin problem. Alice starts with £a; her opponent Bob starts with £(m - a). In each round, Alice wins £1 from Bob with probability p, or loses £1 to Bob with probability q = 1 - p. Alice ruins if she is reduced to £0; Bob ruins if he is reduced to £0, which means Alice would have £m. Let X denote the amount of money in pounds that Alice has after n rounds. Consider the stochastic process (Xn). pri+1 ri+qri-1 = 0 for i = 1, 2,..., m - 1, Τα pm - pa pm - 1 Bob gives Alice the opportunity to instead play a different game where the winnings or losses are just 50p per round, still with the same probabilities p and q. For what values of p should Alice prefer to pay this new game? fp

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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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1. Consider the gambler's ruin problem. Alice starts with £a; her opponent Bob starts
with £(ma). In each round, Alice wins £1 from Bob with probability p, or loses £1
to Bob with probability q = 1 - p. Alice ruins if she is reduced to £0; Bob ruins if he
is reduced to £0, which means Alice would have £m. Let X denote the amount of
money in pounds that Alice has after n rounds. Consider the stochastic process (Xn).
pri+1riqri-1 = 0 for i = 1, 2,..., m — 1,
ra
pm - pa
pm-1'
Bob gives Alice the opportunity to instead play a different game where the winnings
or losses are just 50p per round, still with the same probabilities p and q. For what
values of p should Alice prefer to pay this new game?
Р
Transcribed Image Text:1. Consider the gambler's ruin problem. Alice starts with £a; her opponent Bob starts with £(ma). In each round, Alice wins £1 from Bob with probability p, or loses £1 to Bob with probability q = 1 - p. Alice ruins if she is reduced to £0; Bob ruins if he is reduced to £0, which means Alice would have £m. Let X denote the amount of money in pounds that Alice has after n rounds. Consider the stochastic process (Xn). pri+1riqri-1 = 0 for i = 1, 2,..., m — 1, ra pm - pa pm-1' Bob gives Alice the opportunity to instead play a different game where the winnings or losses are just 50p per round, still with the same probabilities p and q. For what values of p should Alice prefer to pay this new game? Р
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