Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Recession Normal economy Boom Rate of Return Probability Stocks Bonds 0.30 -4% 16% 0.50 17% 10% 0.20 28% 9% a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Problem 11-13 Scenario Analysis (LO2)
Consider the following scenario analysis:
Scenario
Recession
Normal economy
Boom
Rate of Return
Probability
0.30
Stocks
Bonds
-4%
16%
0.50
17%
10%
0.20
28%
9%
a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?
b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment.
c. Which investment would you prefer?
Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below.
Required A Required B Required C
Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?
Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?
Required A
Required B >
Transcribed Image Text:Problem 11-13 Scenario Analysis (LO2) Consider the following scenario analysis: Scenario Recession Normal economy Boom Rate of Return Probability 0.30 Stocks Bonds -4% 16% 0.50 17% 10% 0.20 28% 9% a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. c. Which investment would you prefer? Complete this question by entering your answers in the tabs below. Required A Required B Required C Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms? Required A Required B >
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