Consider the following gasoline time series data. Gasoline Sales Time Series Week Sales (1000s of Gallons) 1 17 2 21 3 19 4 23 5 18 6 16 7 20 8 18 9 22 10 20 11 15 12 22 show the exponential smoothing forecasts using ax= 0.1. Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of = ax.1 or ax= .2 for the gasoline sales time series (to 2 decimals)? MSE for ax= .1 MSE for ax= .2
Consider the following gasoline time series data. Gasoline Sales Time Series Week Sales (1000s of Gallons) 1 17 2 21 3 19 4 23 5 18 6 16 7 20 8 18 9 22 10 20 11 15 12 22 show the exponential smoothing forecasts using ax= 0.1. Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of = ax.1 or ax= .2 for the gasoline sales time series (to 2 decimals)? MSE for ax= .1 MSE for ax= .2
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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Author:Amos Gilat
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Consider the following gasoline time series data.
Gasoline Sales Time Series
Week Sales (1000s of Gallons)
1 | 17 |
2 | 21 |
3 | 19 |
4 | 23 |
5 | 18 |
6 | 16 |
7 | 20 |
8 | 18 |
9 | 22 |
10 | 20 |
11 | 15 |
12 | 22 |
show the exponential smoothing forecasts using ax= 0.1.
- Applying the MSE measure of forecast accuracy, would you prefer a smoothing constant of = ax.1 or ax= .2 for the gasoline sales time series (to 2 decimals)?
MSE for ax= .1 MSE for ax= .2 - Are the results the same if you apply MAE as the measure of accuracy (to 2 decimals)?
MAE for ax= .1 MAE for ax= .2 - What are the results if MAPE is used (to 2 decimals)?
MAPE for ax= .1 % MAPE for ax= .2 %
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