Consider the following actual demand and forecast data for ARX AG a national distributor of commercial blends and custom formulated fertilizers for traditional and organic crop nutrition needs. All data is in tons. Month Forecast Actual Demand 1900 1890 2 1892 1840 3 1850 1838 1840 1831 1833 1830 6 1831 1800 7 1806 1780 1785 1740 1. 4) 5.

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Consider the following actual demand and forecast data for ARX AG a national
distributor of commercial blends and custom formulated fertilizers for traditional
and organic crop nutrition needs. All data is in tons.
Month
Forecast
Actual
Demand
1900
1890
2
1892
1840
3
1850
1838
4
1840
1831
5
1833
1830
6.
1831
1800
7
1806
1780
1785
1740
1749
1732
10
11
12
Develop a forecast for month 10 using exponential smoothing with a
smoothing constant of .8. Note that the initial forecast of 1900 was not derived
using exponential smoothing. Select the answer that best matches yours.
A) 1750
B) 1773
C) 1800
D) 1735 (answer)
E) 1780
Part B
Continuing with ARX AG what is the Mean Absolute Deviation of the Forecast?
A) 24.38
B) 23.89
C) 22.75
D) 25.08
E) 24.92
PRESENT
1.
Transcribed Image Text:Consider the following actual demand and forecast data for ARX AG a national distributor of commercial blends and custom formulated fertilizers for traditional and organic crop nutrition needs. All data is in tons. Month Forecast Actual Demand 1900 1890 2 1892 1840 3 1850 1838 4 1840 1831 5 1833 1830 6. 1831 1800 7 1806 1780 1785 1740 1749 1732 10 11 12 Develop a forecast for month 10 using exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of .8. Note that the initial forecast of 1900 was not derived using exponential smoothing. Select the answer that best matches yours. A) 1750 B) 1773 C) 1800 D) 1735 (answer) E) 1780 Part B Continuing with ARX AG what is the Mean Absolute Deviation of the Forecast? A) 24.38 B) 23.89 C) 22.75 D) 25.08 E) 24.92 PRESENT 1.
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