Consider a plane with a maximum capacity of 50 passengers. Suppose it is known that on a particular the discrete random variable X (which counts the number of passengers who actually show up for the flight) has the following pmf: 45 46 47 48 49 0.05 0.1 0.12 0.14 0.25 a) With what probability will all passengers who show up for the flight have a seat on this flight? b) What is the expected number of passengers who show up for this flight? What is the associated variance? x P(X=x) 50 51 52 53 54 55 0.17 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.01

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**Probability and Expected Value Analysis for Flight Capacity**

Consider a plane with a maximum capacity of 50 passengers. Suppose it is known that on a particular flight, the discrete random variable \( X \) (which counts the number of passengers who actually show up for the flight) has the following probability mass function (pmf):

\[
\begin{array}{c|ccccccccccc}
x & 45 & 46 & 47 & 48 & 49 & 50 & 51 & 52 & 53 & 54 & 55 \\
\hline
P(X = x) & 0.05 & 0.1 & 0.12 & 0.14 & 0.25 & 0.17 & 0.06 & 0.05 & 0.03 & 0.02 & 0.01 \\
\end{array}
\]

### Questions

**a) With what probability will all passengers who show up for the flight have a seat on this flight?**

To find the probability that all passengers who show up have a seat, we need to sum the probabilities for \( X \leq 50 \).

\[
P(X \leq 50) = P(X = 45) + P(X = 46) + P(X = 47) + P(X = 48) + P(X = 49) + P(X = 50)
\]

\[
= 0.05 + 0.1 + 0.12 + 0.14 + 0.25 + 0.17 = 0.83
\]

So, the probability that all passengers who show up for the flight have a seat is \( 0.83 \) or 83%.

**b) What is the expected number of passengers who show up for this flight? What is the associated variance?**

1. **Expected Number \( E(X) \)**

The expected number of passengers can be calculated using the definition of the expected value for discrete random variables:

\[
E(X) = \sum_{x} x \cdot P(X = x)
\]

\[
= 45 \cdot 0.05 + 46 \cdot 0.1 + 47 \cdot 0.12 + 48 \cdot 0.14 + 49 \cdot 0.25 + 50 \cd
Transcribed Image Text:**Probability and Expected Value Analysis for Flight Capacity** Consider a plane with a maximum capacity of 50 passengers. Suppose it is known that on a particular flight, the discrete random variable \( X \) (which counts the number of passengers who actually show up for the flight) has the following probability mass function (pmf): \[ \begin{array}{c|ccccccccccc} x & 45 & 46 & 47 & 48 & 49 & 50 & 51 & 52 & 53 & 54 & 55 \\ \hline P(X = x) & 0.05 & 0.1 & 0.12 & 0.14 & 0.25 & 0.17 & 0.06 & 0.05 & 0.03 & 0.02 & 0.01 \\ \end{array} \] ### Questions **a) With what probability will all passengers who show up for the flight have a seat on this flight?** To find the probability that all passengers who show up have a seat, we need to sum the probabilities for \( X \leq 50 \). \[ P(X \leq 50) = P(X = 45) + P(X = 46) + P(X = 47) + P(X = 48) + P(X = 49) + P(X = 50) \] \[ = 0.05 + 0.1 + 0.12 + 0.14 + 0.25 + 0.17 = 0.83 \] So, the probability that all passengers who show up for the flight have a seat is \( 0.83 \) or 83%. **b) What is the expected number of passengers who show up for this flight? What is the associated variance?** 1. **Expected Number \( E(X) \)** The expected number of passengers can be calculated using the definition of the expected value for discrete random variables: \[ E(X) = \sum_{x} x \cdot P(X = x) \] \[ = 45 \cdot 0.05 + 46 \cdot 0.1 + 47 \cdot 0.12 + 48 \cdot 0.14 + 49 \cdot 0.25 + 50 \cd
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