Consider a cohort of patients receiving an experimental two-year treatment for a serious disease. Suppose that only 20% of the patients survive to the end of the second year. Assume CFM (constant force of mortality) within each year of treatment. Find the probability that a patient who survives the first four months dies by the end of the 20th month. Round to 4 decimal places.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Consider a cohort of patients receiving an experimental two-year treatment for a serious disease. Suppose that only 20% of the patients survive to the end of the second year. Assume CFM (constant force of mortality) within each year of treatment. Find the probability that a patient who survives the first four months dies by the end of the 20th month. Round to 4 decimal places.

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