Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1QTC
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Question

Transcribed Image Text:1. You have been hired as a consultant for the City of Los Angeles. City planners need to
understand population data and use the data to predict the population in the future. Having a
good estimate of the city's population helps the planners decide how much money will be
needed for city maintenance and services, and helps local officials anticipate the needs for
housing, school and other construction, and much more. Your work begins with finding the
population of Los Angeles in the United States Census for 1920 to 2010. The U.S. Census Bureau
data for the City of Los Angeles 1920-2010 appears in table below.
Year
Actual
Population using
Population using
Quadratic Model
Population using
Exponential Model
х, уears
since
Population
Linear Model
1920
1920
576,673
10
1930
1,238,048
20
1940
1,504,277
30
1950
1,970,358
40
1960
2,479,015
50
1970
2,816,061
60
1980
2,966,850
70
1990
3,485,398
80
2000
3,694,820
90
2010
3,792,621
a. One way to model the population is with a linear function, y = mx + b, where x is the
years since 1920 and y is the population. As a first attempt, find a linear model for the
population using just the data for 1920, (0, 576673), and 2010, (90,3792621). Show
all work algebraically and round all values to two decimal places.
b. Enter the values for x and the actual population as a table in Desmos and use regression
to find the best linear function that models the data by entering y,~mx, + b. Give this
model below (rounding all values to two decimal places) and use it to fill in the column
labeled "Population using Linear Model" in the table above.
c. How do your models from parts (a) and (b) compare? How do each of the two models
compare to the actual data points on the graph? Which model do you think fits the data
best and why?
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