Chris has to decide between 2 SME's who want to assist in his project. Vendor 1 has a 30% chance of failure and this will have an adverse impact of $1000 to his project. But if Vendor 1 succeeds, there is a 70% chance of a $6000 gain.

FINANCIAL ACCOUNTING
10th Edition
ISBN:9781259964947
Author:Libby
Publisher:Libby
Chapter1: Financial Statements And Business Decisions
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Chris has to decide between 2 SME's who
want to assist in his project.
Vendor 1 has a 30% chance of failure and
this will have an adverse impact of $1000 to
his project. But if Vendor 1 succeeds, there
is a 70% chance of a $6000 gain.
If he chooses Vendor 2, there is a 40%
chance that they may fail resulting in a loss
of $1200. If Vendor 2 does succeed, Chris
estimates that there is a 67% of a profit of
$7500.
Explain each step you would take, using a
decision tree and Expected Monetary Value,
to find out the vendor with the least risk
loss.
Transcribed Image Text:Chris has to decide between 2 SME's who want to assist in his project. Vendor 1 has a 30% chance of failure and this will have an adverse impact of $1000 to his project. But if Vendor 1 succeeds, there is a 70% chance of a $6000 gain. If he chooses Vendor 2, there is a 40% chance that they may fail resulting in a loss of $1200. If Vendor 2 does succeed, Chris estimates that there is a 67% of a profit of $7500. Explain each step you would take, using a decision tree and Expected Monetary Value, to find out the vendor with the least risk loss.
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