Choose one of the causes of death from the article and convert odds to probability - determine the probability of this cause of death. Determine the probability that the cause of death is not the one you chose. Explain why it is so difficult to calculate this probability directly yet so easy to calculate it using a trick.You can chose which death or you can do for drowning doesnt matter.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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  • If the odds in favor of event E are a to b the probability of the event is given by P(E) = a/(a+b)
  • Choose one of the causes of death from the article and convert odds to probability - determine the probability of this cause of death.
  • Determine the probability that the cause of death is not the one you chose. Explain why it is so difficult to calculate this probability directly yet so easy to calculate it using a trick.You can chose which death or you can do for drowning doesnt matter.
Cataclysmic storm
1 in 58,669
Hornet, wasp, and bee stings
1 in 59,507
Hot surfaces and substances
1 in 63,113
Dog attack
1 in 86,781
Lightning
1 in 138,849
Railway passenger
Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds
Passenger on an airplane
Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds
Transcribed Image Text:Cataclysmic storm 1 in 58,669 Hornet, wasp, and bee stings 1 in 59,507 Hot surfaces and substances 1 in 63,113 Dog attack 1 in 86,781 Lightning 1 in 138,849 Railway passenger Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds Passenger on an airplane Too few deaths in 2019 to calculate odds
Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2019
Cause of Death
Odds of Dying
Heart disease
1 in 6
Cancer
1 in 7
All preventable causes of death
1 in 24
Chronic lower respiratory disease
1 in 27
Suicide
1 in 88
Opioid overdose
1 in 92
Fall
1 in 106
Motor-vehicle crash
1 in 107
Gun assault
1 in 289
Pedestrian incident
1 in 543
Motorcyclist
1 in 899
Drowning
1 in 1,128
Fire or smoke
1 in 1,547
Choking on food
1 in 2,535
Вicyclist
1 in 3,825
Sunstroke
1 in 8,248
Accidental gun discharge
1 in 8,571
Electrocution, radiation, extreme
1 in 13,394
temperatures, and pressure
Sharp objects
1 in 29,334
Cataclysmic storm
1 in 58,669
Transcribed Image Text:Lifetime odds of death for selected causes, United States, 2019 Cause of Death Odds of Dying Heart disease 1 in 6 Cancer 1 in 7 All preventable causes of death 1 in 24 Chronic lower respiratory disease 1 in 27 Suicide 1 in 88 Opioid overdose 1 in 92 Fall 1 in 106 Motor-vehicle crash 1 in 107 Gun assault 1 in 289 Pedestrian incident 1 in 543 Motorcyclist 1 in 899 Drowning 1 in 1,128 Fire or smoke 1 in 1,547 Choking on food 1 in 2,535 Вicyclist 1 in 3,825 Sunstroke 1 in 8,248 Accidental gun discharge 1 in 8,571 Electrocution, radiation, extreme 1 in 13,394 temperatures, and pressure Sharp objects 1 in 29,334 Cataclysmic storm 1 in 58,669
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