ce per minute, a subway train arrives at the XYZ station with probability p. Every time the train arrived, it is either Green, Red or Blue. Consecutive minutes are inde- pendent: for example, knowing that a train arrived or did not arrive at 10:12AM tells you nothing about what will happen at 10:13AM.Trains arriving after 10:00AM always arrive in the following order: Green train always comes first, followed by the Red train, followed by the Blue train. Your train is the Blue Train. You come to the XYZ station at exactly 10:00AM. What is the probability that you will wait exactly 10 minutes for your train?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Once per minute, a subway train arrives at the XYZ station with probability p. Every time the train arrived, it is either Green, Red or Blue. Consecutive minutes are inde- pendent: for example, knowing that a train arrived or did not arrive at 10:12AM tells you nothing about what will happen at 10:13AM.Trains arriving after 10:00AM always arrive in the following order: Green train always comes first, followed by the Red train, followed by the Blue train. Your train is the Blue Train.
You come to the XYZ station at exactly 10:00AM. What is the probability that you will wait exactly 10 minutes for your train?

 

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