Because of a recession, the inflation rate expected for the coming year isonly 3%. However, the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expectedto be constant at some level above 3%. Assume that the real risk-free rateis r* 5 2% for all maturities and that there are no maturity risk premiums.If 3-year Treasury notes yield 2 percentage points more than 1-year notes,what inflation rate is expected after Year 1?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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Because of a recession, the inflation rate expected for the coming year is
only 3%. However, the inflation rate in Year 2 and thereafter is expected
to be constant at some level above 3%. Assume that the real risk-free rate
is r* 5 2% for all maturities and that there are no maturity risk premiums.
If 3-year Treasury notes yield 2 percentage points more than 1-year notes,
what inflation rate is expected after Year 1?

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