Bayesian Model
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Question

Transcribed Image Text:Bayesian Model
What is the probability of alarm ringing due to earthquake?
Burglary
A P(JA)
T
.9
F
.05
JohnCalls
P(B)
Earthquake
.001
Alarm
BE P(A|B,E)
.95
.94
T T
T F
F
T
FF
.29
.001
P(E)
.002
MaryCalls
A P(MIA)
T
.7
F
.01
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