Bag 1 contains 8 gray rocks and 5 black rocks, and Bag 2 contains 9 gray rocks and 4 black rocks. Suppose we flip a fair coin. If the result is heads, we randomly select a rock from Bag 1; if the result is tails, we randomly select a rock from Bag 2. Suppose that a gray rock was selected. What is the probability that the rock came from Bag 1?

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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Bag 1 contains 8 gray rocks and 5 black rocks, and Bag 2 contains 9 gray rocks and 4 black rocks. Suppose we flip a fair coin. If the result is heads, we randomly select a rock from Bag 1; if the result is tails, we randomly select a rock from Bag 2.

Suppose that a gray rock was selected. What is the probability that the rock came from Bag 1?

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