b) Given the following data: Month Sales Month Sales July August September 38.0 October 35.0 January February March 25.0 31.0 32.0 29.0 April May June 33.0 40.0 November 37.0 December 32.0 34.0 37.0 Required: • With a six-month warm-up sample, determine monthly forecasts using: i. ii. Naïve Model Three-month Moving Average Weighted Average Exponential Smoothing ( a = 0.40) Linear Regression ii. iv. V. • For each models above, calculate: i. ii. MAD MSE With MSE as basis, which of the models do you think is superior?
b) Given the following data: Month Sales Month Sales July August September 38.0 October 35.0 January February March 25.0 31.0 32.0 29.0 April May June 33.0 40.0 November 37.0 December 32.0 34.0 37.0 Required: • With a six-month warm-up sample, determine monthly forecasts using: i. ii. Naïve Model Three-month Moving Average Weighted Average Exponential Smoothing ( a = 0.40) Linear Regression ii. iv. V. • For each models above, calculate: i. ii. MAD MSE With MSE as basis, which of the models do you think is superior?
MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1P
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![b) Given the following data:
Month
Sales
Month
Sales
July
August
September 38.0
October
November
25.0
35.0
January
February
March
31.0
32.0
29.0
April
May
June
33.0
40.0
34.0
37.0
37.0
32.0
December
Required:
With a six-month warm-up sample, determine monthly forecasts using:
Naïve Model
Three-month Moving Average
Weighted Average
Exponential Smoothing ( a = 0.40)
Linear Regression
i.
i.
ii.
iv.
V.
For each models above, calculate:
i.
MAD
i.
MSE
With MSE as basis, which of the models do you think is superior?](/v2/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcontent.bartleby.com%2Fqna-images%2Fquestion%2Fa8c8ce61-218a-4a67-a2ce-d946736bf6f8%2F2e134d29-91e3-4d66-b105-fd73568fc065%2F2eoos76_processed.jpeg&w=3840&q=75)
Transcribed Image Text:b) Given the following data:
Month
Sales
Month
Sales
July
August
September 38.0
October
November
25.0
35.0
January
February
March
31.0
32.0
29.0
April
May
June
33.0
40.0
34.0
37.0
37.0
32.0
December
Required:
With a six-month warm-up sample, determine monthly forecasts using:
Naïve Model
Three-month Moving Average
Weighted Average
Exponential Smoothing ( a = 0.40)
Linear Regression
i.
i.
ii.
iv.
V.
For each models above, calculate:
i.
MAD
i.
MSE
With MSE as basis, which of the models do you think is superior?
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